Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel
16/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.51
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
1416
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
65
Blocked Shots
37
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
1315
Offsides
11
Fouls
1513
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1721
Touches in the Opposition Box
2428
Passes
75% (235/315)86% (447/517)
Passes in the final third
61% (65/106)69% (74/107)
Crosses
36% (5/14)11% (2/18)
Tackles
54% (13/24)69% (9/13)
Clearances Total
3522
Interceptions
911

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Pieringer M. , Kratzig F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Rosenboom L. , Bernhardsson A. ,
  • 46', Gigovic A. , Harres P. ,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Zivzivadze B. , Mainka P. (A),
  • 54', Komenda M. 🟨,
  • 56', Knudsen M. , Holtby L. ,
  • 56', Machino S. , Arp J.-F. ,
  • 57', Traore O. H. 🟨,
  • 75', Pieringer M. , Scienza L. ,
  • 78', Harres P. 🟨,
  • 80', Dorsch N. , Keller T. ,
  • 81', Skrzybski S. , Tolkin J. ,
  • 85', Arp J.-F. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Harres P. , Porath F. (A),
  • 88', Busch M. , Kerber L. ,
  • 89', Beck A. , Conteh S. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Conteh S. , Zivzivadze B. (A),

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
47.1%
Draw
26.9%
Holstein Kiel
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 25.4% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25.4% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heidenheim's form might have worsened.
  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heidenheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.82)
    3.58
    (3.77)
    3.68
    (4.33)
    4.1%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 2.
    • Heidenheim is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Holstein Kiel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Holstein Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Heidenheim will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Niehues J. (Muscle Injury) Schoppner J. (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Geschwill M. (Muscle Injury) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Wanner P. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Tolkin J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:18 (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:8 (average 2.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim 1:0
    23.04.2023 Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel 3:0
    16.10.2022 Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim 3:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1
    23.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:2
    20.02.2025 Heidenheim - Copenhagen 1:3
    16.02.2025 Heidenheim - Mainz 0:2
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German Bundesliga Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich34257299:326782
    2Bayer Leverkusen341912372:432969
    3Eintracht Frankfurt34179868:462260
    4Dortmund341761171:512057
    5Freiburg341671149:53-455
    6Mainz3414101055:431252
    7RB Leipzig341312953:48551
    8Werder Bremen341491154:57-351
    9Stuttgart341481264:531150
    10B. Monchengladbach341361555:57-245
    11Wolfsburg3411101356:54243
    12Augsburg3411101335:51-1643
    13Union Berlin3410101435:51-1640
    14St. Pauli34881828:41-1332
    15Hoffenheim347111646:68-2232
    16Heidenheim34852137:64-2729
    17Holstein Kiel34672149:80-3125
    18Bochum34672133:67-3425

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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