Holstein Kiel vs Hannover: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Hannover
Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 4
  • Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)
Holstein Kiel - Hannover - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.05
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
77% (280/365)86% (460/534)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.821.10
Total shots
912
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1623
Passes
77% (280/365)86% (460/534)
Long passes
40% (19/48)49% (27/55)
Passes in final third
61% (41/67)71% (105/147)
Crosses
11% (1/9)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.90
Throw-ins
1123
Fouls
2316
Tackles
32% (6/19)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4767
Clearances
2817
Interceptions
915
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.100.82
Goals prevented
-0.90-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Harres P. , Tolkin J. (A),
  • 38', Knudsen M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Knudsen M. , Davidsen K. ,
  • 46', Therkelsen J. 🟨,
  • 60', Aseko-Nkili N. , Taibi W. ,
  • 60', Rochelt J. , Yokota D. ,
  • 60', Pichler B. , Kallman B. ,
  • 62', Bernhardsson A. , Kapralik A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Ghita V. , Leopold E. (A),
  • 69', 1 - 2, Kallman B. ,
  • 70', Harres P. , Muller M. ,
  • 70', Therkelsen J. , Niehoff N. ,
  • 75', Okon I. 🟨,
  • 76', Okon I. , Blank H. ,
  • 79', Tomiak B. 🟨,
  • 79', Neubauer M. 🟨,
  • 80', Wagner R. , Schwab S. ,
  • 84', Bundu M. , Roggow F. ,

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel
38.1%
Draw
26.1%
Hannover
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 25.3% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 25.3% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Holstein Kiel - Hannover Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.66)
    3.58
    (3.7)
    2.62
    (2.38)
    6.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Hannover?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Hannover will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 19.1%73.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 3.
    • Holstein Kiel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hannover is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Holstein Kiel has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hannover: Chakroun H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Hannover were as follows:
    19.05.2024 Hannover - Holstein Kiel 1:2
    13.01.2024 Holstein Kiel - Hannover 2:3
    16.12.2023 Holstein Kiel - Hannover 3:0
    07.07.2023 Holstein Kiel - Hannover 1:2
    28.05.2023 Hannover - Holstein Kiel 1:5
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    Latest results of Hannover
    23.08.2025 Hannover - Magdeburg 3:1
    16.08.2025 Energie Cottbus - Hannover 1:0
    03.08.2025 Hannover - Kaiserslautern 1:0
    26.07.2025 Hannover - Cagliari 2:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt641111:5613
    2Elversberg641111:6513
    3Hannover641110:7313
    4Kaiserslautern640212:5712
    5Schalke64027:4312
    6Paderborn63217:4311
    7Karlsruher SC63217:6111
    8Arminia Bielefeld631212:7510
    9Holstein Kiel63038:629
    10Greuther Furth630313:15-29
    11Preussen Munster62139:12-37
    12Braunschweig62137:11-47
    13Dusseldorf62135:12-77
    14SG Dynamo Dresden61239:11-25
    15Hertha Berlin61234:6-25
    16Nurnberg61144:7-34
    17Bochum61056:11-53
    18Magdeburg61057:14-73

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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