Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

WWK Arena (Augsburg).

: Bundesliga - Round 32
Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.19	2.15
Ball Possession
72%	28%
Total shots
27	7
Shots on target
10	5
Big Chances
5	5
Corner Kicks
11	0
Passes
88% (517/590)	71% (168/236)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.19	2.15
xG on target (xGOT)
3.13	2.50
Total shots
27	7
Shots on target
10	5
Shots off target
11	1
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
16	6
Shots outside the Box
11	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
5	5
Corner Kicks
11	0
Touches in opposition box
47	8
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
20	4
Passes
88% (517/590)	71% (168/236)
Long passes
65% (35/54)	33% (15/46)
Passes in final third
79% (186/235)	38% (15/39)
Crosses
37% (16/43)	0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.35	0.53
Throw-ins
44	22
Fouls
4	20
Tackles
64% (7/11)	68% (17/25)
Duels won
60	50
Clearances
7	52
Interceptions
9	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	9
xGOT faced
2.50	3.13
Goals prevented
-0.50	2.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Machino S. (Pen),
39', Machino S. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
40', 0 - 2, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Skrzybski S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 3, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Skrzybski S. (A),
53', Zesiger C. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
54', Wolf M. ↓, Koudossou H. ↑,
56', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
63', Komur M. ↓, Maier A. ↑,
63', Essende S. ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
74', Gigovic A. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
74', Skrzybski S. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
79', Onyeka F. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
85', Arp J.-F. 🟨,
90', 1 - 3, Mounie S. ⚽, Tietz P. (A),
90+4', Remberg N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Augsburg
52.3%

Draw
25%

Holstein Kiel
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.8%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

23.1%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Augsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Augsburg - Holstein Kiel Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)	3.87 ↓ (4.04)	4.22 ↓ (4.73)	4% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Augsburg - Holstein Kiel?

The most likely score is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Holstein Kiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Augsburg is the team to beat.
There will not play in Augsburg: Banks N. (Muscle Injury) Berisha M. (Injury) Kabadayi Y. (Knee Injury) Kucuksahin M. (Injury) Oxford R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Ivezic M. (Yellow Cards) Kelati A. Y. (Thigh Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Komenda M. (Thigh Injury) Nekic I. (Knee Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Holstein Kiel?

Augsburg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Augsburg?

Holstein Kiel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:

21.12.2024 Holstein Kiel - Augsburg 5:1

Latest results of Augsburg

26.04.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg 2:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Bochum - Augsburg 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺

29.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Holstein Kiel

26.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - Borussia Mönchengladbach 4:3 ✺

19.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Mainz - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen 0:3 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	33	24	7	2	95:32	63	79
2	Bayer Leverkusen ✔	33	19	11	3	70:41	29	68
3	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	16	9	8	65:45	20	57
4	Freiburg	33	16	7	10	48:50	-2	55
5	Dortmund	33	16	6	11	68:51	17	54
6	Mainz	33	14	9	10	53:41	12	51
7	RB Leipzig	33	13	12	8	51:45	6	51
8	Werder Bremen	33	13	9	11	50:56	-6	48
9	Stuttgart	33	13	8	12	61:51	10	47
10	B. Monchengladbach	33	13	6	14	55:56	-1	45
11	Augsburg	33	11	10	12	34:49	-15	43
12	Wolfsburg	33	10	10	13	55:54	1	40
13	Union Berlin	33	9	10	14	33:50	-17	37
14	St. Pauli	33	8	8	17	28:39	-11	32
15	Hoffenheim	33	7	11	15	46:64	-18	32
16	Heidenheim	33	8	5	20	36:60	-24	29
17	Holstein Kiel ✔	33	6	7	20	49:77	-28	25
18	Bochum ✔	33	5	7	21	31:67	-36	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Augsburg - Holstein Kiel?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, RCTI+, Vidio
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 9, SportKlub 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball