Hoffenheim vs Mainz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Hoffenheim - Mainz
Result
2:0
12/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
Hoffenheim - Mainz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.15
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
70% (192/275)83% (420/505)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.950.02
Total shots
814
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
19
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1929
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
70% (192/275)83% (420/505)
Long passes
38% (23/60)40% (21/53)
Passes in final third
59% (46/78)70% (124/178)
Crosses
25% (5/20)28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.881.44
Fouls
1811
Tackles
58% (11/19)85% (11/13)
Duels won
5251
Clearances Total
4032
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.021.95
Goals prevented
0.02-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Kramaric A. , Toure B. (A),
  • 24', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Kramaric A. , Toure B. (A),
  • 40', Mwene P. , Nordin A. ,
  • 45+2', Nsoki S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Nebel P. 🟨,
  • 66', Veratschnig N. , Sieb A. ,
  • 67', Toure B. , Hlozek A. ,
  • 74', Bulter M. , Jurasek D. ,
  • 75', Bischof T. 🟨,
  • 82', Kohr D. , Hong Hyun-Seok ,
  • 85', Tabakovic H. , Yardimci E. ,
  • 85', Kramaric A. , Geiger D. ,
  • 90+3', Baumann O. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nebel P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim 35.8%Draw 27.6%Mainz 36.6%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Hoffenheim 33.1%Draw 27.3%Mainz 39.6%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Hoffenheim 33.5%Draw 27.6%Mainz 39.1%

Hoffenheim - Mainz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.69
(2.9)
3.48
(3.52)
2.62
(2.43)
4.2%
(4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Mainz?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Ostigard L. (Red Card) Prass A. (Ankle Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Amiri N. (Yellow Cards) Bell S. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Moerstedt M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 34:41 (average 1.7:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:18 (average 2.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Mainz were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Mainz - Hoffenheim 2:0
    13.04.2024 Mainz - Hoffenheim 4:1
    26.11.2023 Hoffenheim - Mainz 1:1
    04.03.2023 Mainz - Hoffenheim 1:0
    14.01.2023 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:2
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1
    29.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1
    14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0
    09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1
    01.03.2025 Bochum - Hoffenheim 0:1
    Latest results of Mainz
    05.04.2025 Mainz - Holstein Kiel 1:1
    30.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 3:1
    15.03.2025 Mainz - Freiburg 2:2
    01.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 31236290:296175
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 311910266:353167
    3Eintracht Frankfurt31167862:422055
    4Freiburg311561044:47-351
    5RB Leipzig311310848:42649
    6Dortmund311461160:491148
    7Mainz311381048:39947
    8Werder Bremen301361148:54-645
    9B. Monchengladbach311351351:50144
    10Augsburg3111101033:42-943
    11Stuttgart311181256:51541
    12Wolfsburg311091253:48539
    13Union Berlin30981330:44-1435
    14St. Pauli30861626:36-1030
    15Hoffenheim31791540:58-1830
    16Heidenheim31742033:60-2725
    17Holstein Kiel31571945:74-2922
    18Bochum30552029:62-3320

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Hoffenheim - Mainz?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
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    chileChileDisney+
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    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
    denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
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    sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
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    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect
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    uruguayUruguayDisney+
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