Result
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
HJK
42.4% | Draw
24.1% | Ilves
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-4%)
HJK - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.06) |
3.98 ↓
(4.03) |
2.84 ↓
(3.13) |
5.5%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 1.
- HJK is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ilves is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HJK won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Ilves?
HJK has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against HJK?
Ilves has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - Ilves were as follows:
11.08.2025
HJK
-
Ilves
5:1
05.04.2025
Ilves
-
HJK
3:2
28.09.2024
HJK
-
Ilves
0:1
06.07.2024
Ilves
-
HJK
3:0
25.05.2024
HJK
-
Ilves
1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 54:31 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 49:22 | 27 | 50 |
| 3 | KuPS | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 48:29 | 19 | 50 |
| 4 | HJK | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 46 |
| 5 | SJK | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 52:38 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Which TV channels are streaming of HJK - Ilves?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
