Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball NPB Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Result
3:5
07/05/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NPB
Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
710
Errors
02
Home Runs
12
Runs batted in
35
Base on Balls
44
Strikeouts
1011
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3534
Batting Average
0.20.294

Chances of winning


Tokyo Yakult Swallows
48.3%
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Hiroshima Toyo Carp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Yakult Swallows than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroshima Toyo Carp than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.87)

    1.84
    (1.96)
    5.2%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp?
    The most likely score is 4:4. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3.
    • Tokyo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hiroshima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 50:64. (average 2.5:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:42. (average 3.2:3.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp were as follows:
    06.05.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp Postponed
    05.05.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 0:4
    23.04.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 7:1
    22.04.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows Postponed
    03.04.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 3:0
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers3620214128:920.588
    2Hiroshima Carp3518116121:970.529
    3Yomiuri Giants3719117118:1200.528
    4Yokohama BayStars3516316104:940.500
    5Chunichi Dragons351521874:1020.455
    6Yakult Swallows321211988:1280.387


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Nippon Ham Fighters3621114129:1040.600
    2Orix Buffaloes3618315123:1280.545
    3Seibu Lions3519016102:930.543
    4Fukuoka S. Hawks3717218142:1180.486
    5Rakuten Gold. Eagles3516019102:1230.457
    6Chiba Lotte Marines331202184:1160.364

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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