Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Baseball NPB Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Result
7:6
21/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NPB
Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
1013
Errors
01
Home Runs
11
Runs batted in
66
Base on Balls
17
Strikeouts
711
Stolen bases
02
At bat
3739
Batting Average
0.270.333

Chances of winning


Tokyo Yakult Swallows
38.6%
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Hiroshima Toyo Carp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Yakult Swallows than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroshima Toyo Carp than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.6)

    1.55
    (1.52)
    5%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tokyo Yakult Swallows will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 6 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3.
    • Tokyo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hiroshima is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Hiroshima might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 46:41. (average 2.3:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 3:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp were as follows:
    20.07.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 8:7
    19.07.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 3:1
    03.07.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 0:5
    02.07.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 2:1
    01.07.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 2:2
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers9759236332:2100.621
    2Yokohama BayStars9544546296:2740.489
    3Yomiuri Giants9645348274:2900.484
    4Chunichi Dragons9543250253:2850.462
    5Hiroshima Carp9540550280:3020.444
    6Yakult Swallows9032553247:3580.376


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks9657435361:2610.620
    2Nippon Ham Fighters9657237361:2550.606
    3Orix Buffaloes9449342334:3460.538
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles9444248271:3140.478
    5Seibu Lions9544249252:2750.473
    6Chiba Lotte Marines9335355275:3660.389

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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