Middelfart vs Hillerød: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Danish 1 Division Middelfart - Hillerød
Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 1st Division - Round 12
  • Referee: Lykke M. (Den)
Middelfart - Hillerød - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.72
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
64% (262/409)60% (214/356)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.951.90
Total shots
813
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2721
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
64% (262/409)60% (214/356)
Long passes
32% (30/94)23% (18/78)
Passes in final third
51% (82/161)46% (43/93)
Crosses
27% (7/26)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.47
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1410
Tackles
92% (11/12)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5763
Clearances
2452
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.900.95
Goals prevented
-0.10-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Akale A. , Vetter J. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Mouritz M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Vetter J. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Justinussen A. ,
  • 67', Kallsberg P. , Arndal T. ,
  • 68', Boesen M. , Pedersen S. ,
  • 68', Barholt N. , Jensen L. ,
  • 73', Dedes V. , Enghardt K. ,
  • 73', Schmidt N. , Due Grandt M. ,
  • 80', Vetter J. , Wielzen J. ,
  • 82', Jalaei S. , Opoku S. ,
  • 86', Villemoes J. , Boyum Johansen C. ,

Chances of winning


Middelfart
28.8%
Draw
25.9%
Hillerød
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 23.9% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 24% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middelfart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Middelfart - Hillerød Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (3.43)
    3.58
    (3.94)
    2.09
    (1.93)
    6.7%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Middelfart - Hillerød?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hillerød (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Hillerød will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
    • Middelfart has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hillerød has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hillerød may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Hillerød could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middelfart - Hillerød were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Hillerød - Middelfart 2:1
    Latest results of Middelfart
    20.09.2025 Middelfart - Kolding IF 1:0
    14.09.2025 Aalborg BK - Middelfart 4:0
    03.09.2025 Middelfart - Silkeborg IF 1:2
    30.08.2025 Middelfart - Lyngby BK 2:2
    Latest results of Hillerød
    27.09.2025 Hillerød - Horsens 2:1
    24.09.2025 Hillerød - AGF Aarhus 1:2
    20.09.2025 Hvidovre - Hillerød 3:1
    14.09.2025 Hillerød - Esbjerg 3:0
    29.08.2025 Kolding IF - Hillerød 0:0
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hillerod1272320:16423
    2Lyngby1264224:131122
    3Hvidovre IF1255217:14320
    4Horsens1254313:9419
    5Kolding IF1253416:13318
    6Aalborg1252520:15517
    7B.931252515:19-417
    8Aarhus Fremad1244421:16516
    9Esbjerg1251614:17-316
    10Hobro1225513:21-811
    11Koge1231812:23-1110
    12Middelfart1215611:20-98

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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