Hibernian vs Kilmarnock: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Scottish Premier League Hibernian - Kilmarnock
Result
2:2
10/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Round 2
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
Hibernian - Kilmarnock - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.92
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
86% (465/539)78% (286/366)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.630.45
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2717
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
86% (465/539)78% (286/366)
Long passes
45% (15/33)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
72% (93/129)42% (29/69)
Crosses
19% (5/26)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.89
Throw-ins
2211
Fouls
1015
Tackles
67% (6/9)64% (18/28)
Duels won
4663
Clearances
2234
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.451.63
Goals prevented
-1.55-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', Mayo L. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Bushiri R. , McGrath J. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Youan T. , Hoilett J. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 1, Polworth L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 2, Brannan B. ,
  • 57', Brandon J. 🟨,
  • 59', Hanley G. , Iredale J. ,
  • 59', Youan T. , Boyle M. ,
  • 59', Hoilett J. , Cadden Ch. ,
  • 63', McKenzie R. , Kiltie G. ,
  • 68', Brandon J. , Thompson D. ,
  • 73', Mulligan J. 🟨,
  • 82', Levitt D. , Campbell J. ,
  • 82', Daniels D. , Anderson B. ,
  • 90+1', Bowie K. , Klidje T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hibernian
60.9%
Draw
23%
Kilmarnock
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 24.5% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 26.2% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hibernian's performance.
  • Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kilmarnock might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Hibernian - Kilmarnock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.75)
    4.08
    (3.83)
    5.84
    (4.29)
    5.3%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Hibernian - Kilmarnock?
  • Users Predictions: Hibernian will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.79%98.59%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 2.
    • Hibernian has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kilmarnock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hibernian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hibernian is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hibernian: Newell J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Kilmarnock: Stanger G. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Hibernian: Molotnikov R. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Daniels D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.4:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hibernian - Kilmarnock were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Kilmarnock - Hibernian 1:1
    29.12.2024 Hibernian - Kilmarnock 1:0
    01.09.2024 Kilmarnock - Hibernian 1:1
    27.01.2024 Kilmarnock - Hibernian 2:2
    11.11.2023 Hibernian - Kilmarnock 1:0
    Latest results of Hibernian
    07.08.2025 Partizan - Hibernian 0:2
    03.08.2025 Dundee - Hibernian 1:2
    31.07.2025 Hibernian - Midtjylland 1:2
    24.07.2025 Midtjylland - Hibernian 1:1
    Latest results of Kilmarnock
    02.08.2025 Kilmarnock - Livingston 2:2
    26.07.2025 Kilmarnock - East Fife 4:0
    22.07.2025 Kelty Hearts - Kilmarnock 1:0
    16.07.2025 Kilmarnock - Livingston 1:0
    12.07.2025 Brora Rangers - Kilmarnock 0:2
    Scottish Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hearts22005:236
    2Celtic22003:036
    3Livingston21105:324
    4Hibernian21104:314
    5Kilmarnock20204:402
    6Rangers20202:202
    7Motherwell20201:102
    8Dundee Utd20114:5-11
    9Dundee FC20112:3-11
    10St. Mirren20110:1-11
    11Falkirk20113:5-21
    12Aberdeen20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
          Premiership (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Hibernian - Kilmarnock?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomHibs TV, Kilmarnock TV
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