Hertha Berlin vs Greuther Fürth: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)
Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.29
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
83% (354/426)79% (322/406)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.250.03
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2811
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
101
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
83% (354/426)79% (322/406)
Long passes
55% (27/49)32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
69% (67/97)57% (64/112)
Crosses
20% (4/20)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.25
Throw-ins
1928
Fouls
1513
Tackles
65% (11/17)56% (5/9)
Duels won
4836
Clearances
2429
Interceptions
206
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.031.25
Goals prevented
0.030.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Reese F. , Niederlechner F. (A),
  • 38', Dardai M. 🟨,
  • 44', Leitl S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Srbeny D. , Consbruch J. ,
  • 60', Giesselmann N. , Itter G. ,
  • 63', Niederlechner F. , Scherhant D. ,
  • 70', Loosli N. 🟨,
  • 71', Meyerhofer M. , Massimo R. ,
  • 71', Loosli N. , Futkeu N. ,
  • 79', Maza I. , Karbownik M. ,
  • 87', Demme D. , Bouchalakis A. ,
  • 87', Cuisance M. , Thorsteinsson J. D. ,
  • 87', Green J. , Kasper D. ,

Chances of winning


Hertha Berlin
50.8%
Draw
23.8%
Greuther Fürth
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 21.5% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 21.3% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.76)
    3.98
    (4.39)
    3.74
    (3.8)
    5.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 50%). Fürth (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Hertha Berlin will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.47%97.53%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14).
    • Hertha is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fürth is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Hertha is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. A. (Ankle Injury) Dudziak J. (Groin Injury) Hussein B. (Ankle Injury) Schuler L. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Fürth: Banse S. (Knee Injury) Calhanoglu K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hertha: Klemens P. (Head Injury)
    • We predict that Hertha will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin 2:1
    11.02.2024 Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin 1:2
    26.08.2023 Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth 5:0
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    25.04.2025 Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg 1:1
    20.04.2025 Ulm 1846 - Hertha Berlin 2:3
    12.04.2025 Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt 1:1
    05.04.2025 Köln - Hertha Berlin 0:1
    29.03.2025 Hertha Berlin - Karlsruher 3:1
    Latest results of Greuther Fürth
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hannover44008:2612
    2Schalke43015:329
    3Elversberg43015:329
    4Karlsruher SC42205:238
    5Arminia Bielefeld42119:457
    6Darmstadt42116:427
    7Preussen Munster42117:617
    8Braunschweig42115:507
    9Kaiserslautern42025:416
    10Greuther Furth420210:11-16
    11Paderborn41214:405
    12Dusseldorf41123:8-54
    13SG Dynamo Dresden41035:7-23
    14Holstein Kiel41034:6-23
    15Magdeburg41037:10-33
    16Bochum41035:8-33
    17Hertha Berlin40221:4-32
    18Nurnberg40131:4-31

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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