Heracles Almelo vs Twente: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Heracles Almelo - Twente
Result
2:1
30/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 27
  • Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
Heracles Almelo - Twente - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.64
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
72% (212/293)78% (308/394)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.02
Total shots
713
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1434
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
72% (212/293)78% (308/394)
Long passes
42% (22/52)48% (31/64)
Passes in final third
60% (59/98)66% (93/141)
Crosses
23% (3/13)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.51
Fouls
1513
Tackles
69% (9/13)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5649
Clearances Total
3526
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.021.46
Goals prevented
0.02-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Hornkamp J. ,
  • 22', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
  • 27', Scheperman S. 🟨,
  • 30', Mesik I. 🟨,
  • 30', Bruns T. 🟨,
  • 40', Mirani D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lagerbielke G. , Bruns M. ,
  • 63', Unuvar N. , Taha Y. ,
  • 63', Kuipers B. , Ltaief S. ,
  • 65', Talvitie J. , Engels M. ,
  • 71', Verschueren A. 🟨,
  • 74', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,
  • 74', Verschueren A. , Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ,
  • 75', Rots D. , Van Hoorenbeeck A. ,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Hornkamp J. , Podgoreanu S. (A),
  • 78', Hornkamp J. , Kulenovic L. ,
  • 78', Bruns T. , van Kaam D. ,
  • 88', Van Hoorenbeeck A. , Kjolo M. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Ltaief S. , Steijn S. (A),
  • 90+3', Wieckhoff J. , Zamburek J. ,

Chances of winning


Heracles Almelo
23.4%
Draw
26.1%
Twente
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.1% 24.2% 51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 23.9% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Heracles Almelo - Twente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.09
    (3.91)
    3.62
    (3.9)
    1.88
    (1.83)
    5.4%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Twente?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Twente will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 42%87.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Heracles won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Twente is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Kulenovic L. (Injury) Laursen N. (Knee Injury) Milani L. (Injury) Rots M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Twente: Alders G. (Knee Injury) van Wolfswinkel R. (Toe Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Heracles won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18:37 (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Twente were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Twente - Heracles Almelo 5:0
    31.03.2024 Twente - Heracles Almelo 1:0
    22.10.2023 Heracles Almelo - Twente 2:2
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Latest results of Twente
    16.03.2025 Twente - Feyenoord 0:3
    09.03.2025 Twente - Almere City 1:0
    01.03.2025 Groningen - Twente 1:1
    23.02.2025 Twente - NEC Nijmegen 2:0
    20.02.2025 Bodø Glimt - Twente 5:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV11006:153
    2Nijmegen11005:053
    3Feyenoord11002:023
    4Zwolle11001:013
    5Sittard10102:201
    6G.A. Eagles10102:201
    7FC Volendam10101:101
    8Heerenveen10101:101
    9Telstar00000:000
    10Ajax00000:000
    11Utrecht00000:000
    12AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    13Heracles00000:000
    14Groningen00000:000
    15Twente10010:1-10
    16NAC Breda10010:2-20
    17Sparta Rotterdam10011:6-50
    18Excelsior10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Which TV channels are streaming of Heracles Almelo - Twente?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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