Heracles Almelo vs NEC Nijmegen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen
Result
1:2
18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 34
  • Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.74
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
83% (321/385)77% (285/372)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.231.46
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
3718
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
99
Passes
83% (321/385)77% (285/372)
Long passes
58% (33/57)29% (14/49)
Passes in final third
74% (80/108)56% (55/99)
Crosses
25% (7/28)0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.93
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
99
Tackles
75% (9/12)47% (8/17)
Duels won
4547
Clearances
3233
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
1.461.23
Goals prevented
-0.540.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Scheperman S. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Hansen S. , van Crooij V. (A),
  • 61', Hansen S. , Hoedemakers M. ,
  • 61', Ouwejan T. , Onal B. ,
  • 62', Talvitie J. , Engels M. ,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Onal B. , van Crooij V. (A),
  • 67', De Keersmaecker B. , Kulenovic L. ,
  • 71', Bruns T. , Wieckhoff J. ,
  • 78', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
  • 81', Linssen B. , Shiogai K. ,
  • 81', Pereira B. , Lyratzis L. ,
  • 89', Ouaissa S. , Larsen L. O. ,

Chances of winning


Heracles Almelo
40.3%
Draw
27%
NEC Nijmegen
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 25.7% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.6% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.4)
    3.55
    (3.6)
    2.9
    (2.6)
    4.4%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 3.
    • Heracles has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nijmegen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Heracles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Heracles: Bruijn J. (Inactive) Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Hoogma J. (Inactive) Laursen N. (Knee Injury) Limbombe B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Ogawa K. (Injury) Proper D. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
    18.12.2024 Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    21.09.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Heracles Almelo 1:2
    03.02.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Heracles Almelo 3:1
    18.08.2023 Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen 2:1
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    14.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    11.05.2025 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 0:3
    03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1
    27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    11.04.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 2:1
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1De GraafschapDordrecht0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2ByeWillem II
    3TelstarDen Haag1 : 0, 2 : 0
    4Den BoschCambuur1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1DordrechtWillem II2 : 4, 2 : 1
    2TelstarDen Bosch2 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Willem IITelstar1 : 3, 2 : 2
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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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