Henrique Rocha vs Luca Castelnuovo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Shenzhen 4 Challenger Men Henrique Rocha - Luca Castelnuovo
Result
2:0
13/10/2025 at 23:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4, hard - 1/16-finals
Henrique Rocha - Luca Castelnuovo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
63
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
75%52%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (36/48)52% (14/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (7/16)64% (16/25)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
48% (13/27)25% (12/48)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (9/25)56% (9/16)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)14% (1/7)
Service Points Won
67% (43/64)59% (30/51)
Return Points Won
41% (21/51)33% (21/64)
Total Points Won
56% (64/115)44% (51/115)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Henrique Rocha
67.7%
Luca Castelnuovo
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henrique Rocha's performance.
  • Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castelnuovo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castelnuovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Henrique Rocha - Luca Castelnuovo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.57)

    2.94
    (2.37)
    6.6%
    (5.9%)
    What is the prediction for Henrique Rocha - Luca Castelnuovo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Castelnuovo will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rocha (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rocha is ranked ATP: 161. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 407.
    • Rocha has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Castelnuovo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Rocha could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Henrique Rocha
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Castelnuovo L. (Q)2 : 0
    2Mo Y. C. (Q)Sultanov K.2 : 0
    3Kotov P.Zhang T. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cui J. (WC)McCabe J. (5)2 : 0
    5Kubler J. (4)Sun F.0 : 2
    6Chung H.Te R. (RET.) (WC)1 : 0
    7Zhou Y.Wang X. (Q)2 : 0
    8Wang A. (Q)Shimizu Y. (7)2 : 1
    9Noguchi R. (8)Uchida K.1 : 2
    10Samrej K.Jung J. (PR)0 : 2
    11Jasika O.Uchiyama Y. (RET.)1 : 0
    12Dev S D P. (Q)Jacquet K. (3)0 : 2
    13Shimabukuro S. (6)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    14Fomin S. (Q)Weber A.2 : 0
    15Honda N. (JR)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    16Harris L.Mayot H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Mo Y. C.0 : 2
    2Kotov P.Cui J.1 : 2
    3Sun F.Chung H.2 : 0
    4Zhou Y. (WO.)Wang A.
    5Uchida K.Jung J. (RET.)1 : 0
    6Jasika O.Jacquet K. (3)1 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S. (6)Fomin S.2 : 1
    8Ferreira Silva F.Mayot H. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Mo Y. C.Cui J.0 : 2
    2Sun F.Zhou Y.0 : 2
    3Uchida K.Jacquet K. (3)1 : 2
    4Shimabukuro S. (6)Mayot H. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cui J.Zhou Y.1 : 2
    2Jacquet K. (3)Shimabukuro S. (6)2 : 1

    Final
    1Zhou Y.Jacquet K. (3)0 : 2
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