Qingdao Hainiu vs Henan Songshan Longmen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Chinese Super League Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen
Result
1:1
29/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 23
Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.051.64
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
2313
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
99
Passes
79% (324/409)69% (218/316)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.051.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.182.23
Total shots
2313
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
102
Shots inside the Box
1212
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
99
Touches in opposition box
3020
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
714
Passes
79% (324/409)69% (218/316)
Long passes
52% (30/58)39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
70% (98/140)50% (54/108)
Crosses
17% (4/24)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.461.76
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
157
Tackles
56% (9/16)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5565
Clearances
4343
Interceptions
1413
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.231.18
Goals prevented
1.230.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43:37, Lu Yongtao 🟨,
  • 45:03, 1 - 0, Lin Chuangyi ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 45:00, Saric E. , Che Shiwei ,
  • 48:48, Jin Yonghao 🟨,
  • 55:26, Lin Chuangyi , Xiao Kun ,
  • 56:47, Lu Yongtao , Liu Bin ,
  • 57:05, Zhong Yihao , Liu Xinyu ,
  • 59:24, 1 - 1, Liu Xinyu , Bruno Nazario (A),
  • 67:56, Jin Yonghao , Zhang Chi ,
  • 68:00, Wei Suowei , Song Long ,
  • 70:47, Che Shiwei 🟨,
  • 74:50, Sun Zheng'ao , Li Hailong ,
  • 84:30, Huang Ruifeng 🟨,
  • 90:01, Acheampong F. , Yang Yilin ,
  • 90:01, Bruno Nazario , Yang Kuo ,
  • 90:20, Song Long 🟨,
  • 90:46, Shinar Yeljan 🟨,
  • 90:59, Huang Ruifeng , Gerbig O. ,

Chances of winning


Qingdao Hainiu
27%
Draw
23.5%
Henan Songshan Longmen
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 24.9% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 24.1% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Hainiu's form might have worsened.
  • Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henan Songshan Longmen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henan Songshan Longmen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.42
    (2.58)
    3.95
    (3.78)
    2.01
    (2.43)
    4.4%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Henan Songshan Longmen will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Henan Songshan Longmen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Qingdao Hainiu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Henan Jianye could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Liu Junshuai (Yellow Cards) Saric E. (Inactive) Sun Zheng'ao (Injury) Wellington Silva (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Song Wenjie (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Henan Jianye: Yin Hongbo (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao Hainiu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Qingdao Hainiu 3:1
    10.08.2024 Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen 0:2
    21.04.2024 Henan Songshan Longmen - Qingdao Hainiu 1:0
    17.07.2023 Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen 2:0
    21.04.2023 Henan Songshan Longmen - Qingdao Hainiu 0:0
    Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chengdu Rongcheng23155348:183050
    2Shanghai Shenhua23154449:262349
    3Shanghai Port23146353:322148
    4Beijing Guoan23146351:321948
    5Shandong Taishan23124751:351640
    6Zhejiang Professional2397746:361034
    7Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2397730:32-234
    8Yunnan Yukun2386935:44-930
    9Dalian Yingbo2285921:32-1129
    10Qingdao West Coast2269729:34-527
    11Wuhan Three Towns23661128:42-1424
    12Henan Songshan Longmen23651238:41-323
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng23621528:50-2220
    14Meizhou Hakka23451428:49-2117
    15Qingdao Hainiu23371321:35-1416
    16Changchun Yatai23441519:37-1816

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League

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