Heidenheim vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Heidenheim - Chelsea
Result
0:2
28/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
Heidenheim - Chelsea - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.972.90
Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
1617
Shots on Goal
119
Shots off Goal
35
Blocked Shots
23
Free Kicks
1014
Corner Kicks
36
Offsides
60
Throw-ins
1610
Goalkeeper Saves
711
Fouls
1410
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
25
Total Passes
302629
Completed Passes
240554
Crosses Completed
25
Interceptions
185

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 1', Badiashile B. 🟨,
  • 42', Traore O. H. 🟨,
  • 45', Casadei C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Nkunku C. , Sancho J. (A),
  • 57', Dorsch N. , Schoppner J. ,
  • 57', Honsak M. , Conteh S. ,
  • 62', Guiu M. , Joao Felix ,
  • 68', Traore O. H. , Beck A. ,
  • 68', Maloney L. , Breunig M. ,
  • 76', Nkunku C. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 78', Kaufmann M. , Gimber B. ,
  • 82', Jorgensen F. 🟨,
  • 84', Veiga R. 🟨,
  • 85', Schoppner J. 🟨,
  • 86', 0 - 2, Mudryk M. , Sancho J. (A),
  • 90+2', Sancho J. , George T. ,
  • 90+2', Dewsbury-Hall K. , Rak-Sakyi S. ,
  • 90+7', Casadei C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
16.6%
Draw
20.6%
Chelsea
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.5% 25.1% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19% 24.4% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelsea's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Heidenheim - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.65
    (4.7)
    4.58
    (3.65)
    1.5
    (1.65)
    6.4%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.18%99.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Heidenheim is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Chelsea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Heidenheim have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Chelsea is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Busch M. (Groin Injury) Janes L. (Knee Injury) Niehues J. (Knee Injury) Pieringer M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Fofana W. (Inactive) James R. (Thigh Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Lavia R. (Inactive) Palmer C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Keller T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Gusto M. (Illness) Neto P. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    10.11.2024 Heidenheim - Wolfsburg 1:3
    07.11.2024 Hearts - Heidenheim 0:2
    02.11.2024 Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim 1:0
    30.10.2024 Hertha Berlin - Heidenheim 2:1
    Latest results of Chelsea
    23.11.2024 Leicester City - Chelsea 1:2
    10.11.2024 Chelsea - Arsenal 1:1
    07.11.2024 Chelsea - Noah Yerevan 8:0
    30.10.2024 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Dundee UtdBye
    2ByeUNA Strassen
    3LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    4ByePrishtina
    5KosiceBye
    6UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    7VaduzBye
    8ByeDungannon
    9SilkeborgBye
    10ByeKA Akureyri
    11RosenborgBye
    12ByeBanga
    13Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    14ByeDinamo Tirana
    15Austria ViennaBye
    16ByeSpaeri
    17FC BallkaniBye
    18FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    19VikingBye
    20ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    21AEK Athens FCBye
    22ByeH. Beer Sheva
    23Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    24ByeGyor
    25Riga FCBye
    26Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    27RakowBye
    28ByeZilina
    29BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    30ByeSabah Baku
    31Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    32ByeU. Cluj
    33VarazdinBye
    34ByeSanta Clara
    35Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    36ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    37PaksBye
    38ByeMaribor
    39VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    40MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    41HammarbyBye
    42ByeCharleroi
    43Radnicki 1923Bye
    44SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    45Novi PazarBye
    46ByeJagiellonia
    47Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    48Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    49La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    50ByeLausanne
    51HB TorshavnBye
    52ByeBrondby
    53OleksandriyaBye
    54ByePartizan
    55HiberniansBye
    56ByeTrnava
    57St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    58KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    59AIKBye
    60MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    61FK SarajevoBye
    62ByeUniv. Craiova
    63ArisBye
    64ByePuskas Academy
    65St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    66ByeShamrock Rovers
    67IlvesBye
    68ByeAZ Alkmaar
    69ZiraBye
    70ByeHajduk Split
    71ArdaBye
    72NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0
    73AktobeBye
    74ByeSparta Prague
    75Zimbru ChisinauBye
    76ByeFC Astana
    77DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    78ByeSK Rapid
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81ArazBye
    82ByeAris
    83OmoniaBye
    84Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3
    85Cherno MoreBye
    86ByeBasaksehir
    87SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    88ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    89VikingurBye
    91VirtusBye
    93LevadiaBye
    94ByeIberia 1999
    95ZalgirisBye
    96ByeLinfield
    97TNSBye
    98ByeDifferdange
    99O. LjubljanaBye
    100ByeInter Escaldes
    101BuducnostBye
    102ByeMilsami
    103Din. MinskBye
    104ByeEgnatia

    Quarter-finals
    1Dundee UtdUNA Strassen
    2LarnePrishtina
    3KosiceNeman
    4VaduzDungannon
    5SilkeborgKA Akureyri
    6RosenborgBanga
    7Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana
    8Austria ViennaSpaeri
    9FC BallkaniFloriana
    10VikingKoper
    11AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva
    12Pyunik YerevanGyor
    13Riga FCDila Gori
    14RakowZilina
    15PetrocubSabah Baku
    16Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj
    17VarazdinSanta Clara
    18Kauno ZalgirisValur
    19PaksMaribor
    20VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik
    21HammarbyCharleroi
    22Radnicki 1923Klaksvik
    23Novi PazarJagiellonia
    24Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma
    25VardarLausanne
    26HB TorshavnBrondby
    27OleksandriyaPartizan
    28HiberniansTrnava
    29St. PatricksKalju
    30AIKPaide
    31FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova
    32ArisPuskas Academy
    33St JosephsShamrock Rovers
    34IlvesAZ Alkmaar
    35ZiraHajduk Split
    36ArdaHJK
    37AktobeSparta Prague
    38Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana
    39DecicSK Rapid
    40ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa
    41ArazAris
    42OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi
    43Cherno MoreBasaksehir
    44SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem
    45VikingurBye
    46VirtusBye
    47LevadiaIberia 1999
    48ZalgirisLinfield
    49TNSDifferdange
    50O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes
    51BuducnostMilsami
    52Din. MinskEgnatia
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