Utrecht vs Heerenveen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Utrecht - Heerenveen
Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 7
  • Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
Utrecht - Heerenveen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.03
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
83% (373/448)80% (337/422)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.462.17
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2322
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
83% (373/448)80% (337/422)
Long passes
51% (29/57)37% (19/52)
Passes in final third
65% (73/113)61% (69/114)
Crosses
30% (6/20)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.410.96
Throw-ins
1314
Fouls
1412
Tackles
56% (9/16)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5447
Clearances
3527
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.171.46
Goals prevented
0.17-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 1 - 0, El Karouani S. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Vente D. , Rivera M. (A),
  • 42', Eerdhuijzen M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Murkin D. , Blake A. ,
  • 46', Vesterlund N. , Viergever N. ,
  • 46', Eerdhuijzen M. , Iqbal Z. ,
  • 60', van Overeem J. 🟨,
  • 63', Zagaritis V. 🟨,
  • 64', Trenskow J. , Sejk V. ,
  • 68', Haller S. , Min D. ,
  • 68', van der Hoorn M. , Didden M. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Vente D. , Sejk V. (A),
  • 79', Linday M. , Kersten S. ,
  • 80', Rivera M. , Egbring M. ,
  • 81', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 87', Meerveld R. , Petrov H. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Min D. ,

Chances of winning


Utrecht
50.3%
Draw
25.7%
Heerenveen
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 23.6% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 23.1% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Utrecht - Heerenveen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.7)
    3.7
    (3.95)
    4.01
    (4.38)
    3.3%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Utrecht - Heerenveen?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Utrecht will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.95%96.33%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 3.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Utrecht is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Utrecht: Cathline Y. (Inactive) Demircan E. (Injury) El Arguioui R. (Knee Injury) Jensen V. (Muscle Injury) de Wit D. (Foot Injury) van den Berg D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P. (Knee Injury) Smans L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heerenveen: Hopland N. (Injury) Kersten S. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Heerenveen were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Utrecht - Heerenveen 2:0
    17.08.2024 Heerenveen - Utrecht 1:1
    07.04.2024 Heerenveen - Utrecht 2:3
    20.08.2023 Utrecht - Heerenveen 0:2
    04.02.2023 Utrecht - Heerenveen 1:0
    Latest results of Utrecht
    25.09.2025 Utrecht - Lyon 0:1
    20.09.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht 1:0
    14.09.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 0:1
    31.08.2025 Zwolle - Utrecht 0:2
    28.08.2025 Utrecht - Zrinjski Mostar 0:0
    Latest results of Heerenveen
    21.09.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 3:2
    13.09.2025 Feyenoord - Heerenveen 1:0
    24.08.2025 Heerenveen - Twente 1:2
    16.08.2025 Groningen - Heerenveen 2:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord761015:41119
    2PSV751121:111016
    3Ajax743014:7715
    4Nijmegen740321:13812
    5AZ Alkmaar733115:11412
    6Groningen740312:10212
    7Utrecht731313:7610
    8Twente731312:10210
    9Sittard731312:12010
    10G.A. Eagles723213:1309
    11Sparta Rotterdam73048:19-119
    12FC Volendam71429:12-37
    13Telstar72149:13-47
    14Zwolle72147:11-47
    15NAC Breda72147:12-57
    16Heerenveen713310:12-26
    17Excelsior72056:15-96
    18Heracles71066:18-123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Which TV channels are streaming of Utrecht - Heerenveen?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
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