Result
1:2
10/02/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - 1/8-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 67% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 72% (42/58) | 80% (43/54) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 67% (18/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 0% (0/3) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 20% (11/54) | 28% (16/58) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 57% (24/42) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 43% (3/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 21 | 36 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 41 | 33 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 75% (3/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (60/100) | 75% (61/81) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (20/81) | 40% (40/100) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (80/181) | 56% (101/181) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 81% (13/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 20% (3/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 52% (16/31) |
Chances of winning
Marc Polmans
55.1% | Hayato Matsuoka
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marc Polmans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hayato Matsuoka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marc Polmans - Hayato Matsuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.56) |
|
2.07 ↓
(2.25) |
7.2%
(8.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Marc Polmans - Hayato Matsuoka?
- Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Polmans will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Matsuoka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
- Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Polmans (votes: 1 - 50%). Matsuoka (votes: 1 - 50%).
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Polmans is ranked ATP: 383. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 405.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Polmans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Polmans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Marc Polmans won against Hayato Matsuoka?
Marc Polmans has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hayato Matsuoka won against Marc Polmans?
Hayato Matsuoka has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marc Polmans - Hayato Matsuoka were as follows:
24.11.2025
Hayato Matsuoka
-
Marc Polmans
1:2
Latest results of Marc Polmans
Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Mackenzie J. (LL) | Polmans M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Matsuoka H. | Delaney Ja. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Marinkov P. (WC) | Zhang Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hewitt C. (WC) | Uchiyama Y. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sakamoto R. (3) | Mochizuki Y. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sinclair C. (Q) | Hulme M. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Tu L. | Nakagawa N. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Ellis B. | Sun F. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Blanch Dar. (8) | Denolly C. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Weber A. | Jorda Sanchis D. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Jasika O. | Shiraishi H. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Isomura K. (Q) | Bolt A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Zhou Y. (6) | Sach T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bouzige M. | Moriya H. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Dellavedova M. (Q) | Imamura M. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Daniel T. | Sweeny D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Polmans M. | Matsuoka H. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Zhang Z. | Uchiyama Y. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Sakamoto R. (3) | Sinclair C. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tu L. | Ellis B. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Blanch Dar. (8) | Weber A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Jasika O. (RET.) | Bolt A. (4) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Sach T. | Moriya H. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Imamura M. | Sweeny D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Matsuoka H. | Zhang Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Sakamoto R. (3) | Tu L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Blanch Dar. (8) | Bolt A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Moriya H. | Sweeny D. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zhang Z. | Sakamoto R. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bolt A. (4) | Moriya H. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Zhang Z. | Bolt A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
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