Hawassa City vs Fasil Kenema: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ethiopian Premier League Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema
Result
1:1
26/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 31
Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
11
Total shots
105
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
73
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Sulieman A. ,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 83', Lankamo B. , Aweke D. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Kebede G. (Pen),
  • 90+8', 🟥,
  • 90+8', 🟥,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hawassa City
30.6%
Draw
33.1%
Fasil Kenema
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 28.6% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 26.7% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawassa City's form might have worsened.
  • Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fasil Kenema's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawassa City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fasil Kenema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.23)
    2.74
    (3.15)
    2.51
    (2.9)
    10.1%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 1.
    • Hawassa City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fasil Kenema's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Fasil Kenema has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hawassa City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City 0:0
    01.03.2024 Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City 2:1
    07.10.2023 Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema 3:3
    06.11.2022 Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema 2:0
    Latest results of Hawassa City
    Latest results of Fasil Kenema
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ethiopian Insurance34227549:153473
    2Ethiopia Bunna34179832:181460
    3Bahir Dar Kenema341591040:241654
    4Hawassa341411940:31953
    5Sidama Bunna341213927:28-149
    6Welayta Dicha341391234:38-448
    7Arba Menche341381332:31147
    8Hadiya Hossana3412111132:31147
    9St. George3412101230:30046
    10Mechal341015936:32445
    11Ethiopia Nigd Bank3410141034:34044
    12Ethio Electric3411111227:28-144
    13Dire Dawa3410131134:36-243
    14Fasil Kenema34916933:35-243
    15Mekelle 70 Enderta3410111327:36-941
    16Adama City341091534:45-1139
    17Shire Endaselassie343131822:46-2422
    18Welwalo Adigrat342131921:46-2519
    19Wolkite Ketema00000:000

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
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