Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United
Result
4:0
30/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.691.29
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
72% (143/200)88% (510/581)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.691.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.960.05
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
88
Blocked Shots
112
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
613
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
84
Passes
72% (143/200)88% (510/581)
Long passes
38% (19/50)61% (25/41)
Passes in final third
63% (44/70)75% (136/182)
Crosses
18% (2/11)26% (8/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.87
Throw-ins
1322
Fouls
48
Tackles
71% (5/7)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3931
Clearances
4318
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.052.96
Goals prevented
0.05-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Dieng M. , Hairston M. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Dieng M. ,
  • 26', 3 - 0, Ngalina M. , Jimenez J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zelalem G. , Vargas M. ,
  • 46', Hurst G. , Amang T. ,
  • 60', Luiz Fernando , Harris D. ,
  • 60', Lindsey J. , Seymore W. ,
  • 63', Jimenez J. , Makangila B. ,
  • 66', Noel V. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 68', Hairston M. , Careaga S. ,
  • 79', Dieng M. , Edwards K. ,
  • 82', 4 - 0, Edwards K. ,
  • 87', Gloster C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hartford Athletic
42%
Draw
25.6%
New Mexico United
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 25.6% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 25.2% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.54)
    3.61
    (3.61)
    2.86
    (2.43)
    8.1%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hartford will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). New Mexico will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United were as follows:
    08.06.2024 New Mexico United - Hartford Athletic 1:0
    05.08.2023 Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United 2:1
    Latest results of Hartford Athletic
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 28216155:193669
    2Charleston ✔ 27184559:293058
    3Hartford Athletic ✔ 281351046:321444
    4Loudoun ✔ 281261044:45-142
    5North Carolina ✔ 281251139:39041
    6Pittsburgh ✔ 281171029:28140
    7Rhode Island281071128:27137
    8Detroit28981131:33-235
    9Indy Eleven28951441:49-832
    10Tampa Bay28861439:47-830
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC28661625:42-1724


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 28158546:291753
    2Sacramento Republic ✔ 28129743:261745
    3New Mexico ✔ 281351040:37344
    4El Paso281010844:39540
    5San Antonio281071134:35-137
    6Lexington29991131:39-836
    7Phoenix Rising28812847:48-136
    8Orange County SC28981142:44-235
    9Colorado Springs28971234:44-1034
    10Oakland Roots28771436:49-1328
    11Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    12Las Vegas Lights28681422:48-2626

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
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