Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic
Result
1:4
09/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.562.34
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
81% (335/416)71% (186/261)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.562.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.723.28
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
90
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
1929
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
109
Passes
81% (335/416)71% (186/261)
Long passes
36% (18/50)32% (19/59)
Passes in final third
68% (74/109)59% (42/71)
Crosses
17% (4/24)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.08
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1212
Tackles
71% (5/7)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3538
Clearances
2432
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
3.281.72
Goals prevented
-0.720.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Howell M. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Dieng M. (Pen),
  • 29', 0 - 2, Dieng M. , Ngalina M. (A),
  • 45+3', Kavita P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', McCartney D. , Turnbull S. ,
  • 46', Kavita P. , Rufe J. ,
  • 48', Laszo E. 🟨,
  • 61', Shashoua S. (Pen),
  • 65', Hairston M. , Makangila B. ,
  • 65', Jimenez J. , Obalola A. ,
  • 72', Dieng M. , Edwards K. ,
  • 73', Samadia E. 🟨,
  • 75', Rufe J. 🟨,
  • 78', Laszo E. , Preston T. ,
  • 78', Howell M. , McIllhatton S. ,
  • 80', Diz A. , Scarlett J. ,
  • 80', Moreira J. , Careaga S. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 3, Edwards K. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 4, Obalola A. , Careaga S. (A),
  • 90+6', 1 - 4, Martinez E. , Tregarthen S. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Birmingham Legion
43.3%
Draw
26.2%
Hartford Athletic
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 28.7% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.7% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.21)
    3.53
    (3.2)
    3.05
    (3.09)
    8%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
    • Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hartford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hartford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Birmingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion 1:0
    03.08.2024 Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic 2:2
    23.03.2024 Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion 1:0
    25.03.2023 Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion 0:1
    Latest results of Hartford Athletic
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City19135138:152344
    2Charleston19132439:201941
    3North Carolina1993729:26330
    4Loudoun1984728:27128
    5Pittsburgh1976618:16227
    6Detroit2067722:24-225
    7Hartford Athletic1864825:22322
    8Rhode Island2056915:20-521
    9Indy Eleven1855827:32-520
    10Miami FC1955917:27-1020
    11Birmingham2047923:32-919
    12Tampa Bay18521121:28-717


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa19115335:221338
    2Sacramento Republic1886426:131330
    3San Antonio1884625:25028
    4El Paso1876530:25527
    5New Mexico1781824:26-225
    6Orange County SC1773727:24324
    7Colorado Springs1866624:24024
    8Phoenix Rising1966730:35-524
    9Monterey Bay20641021:27-622
    10Lexington1957720:26-622
    11Oakland Roots18621020:27-720
    12Las Vegas Lights19541014:35-2119

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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