Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League Two - Round 5
- Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (290/414) | 72% (297/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (290/414) | 72% (297/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (27/77) | 37% (33/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (84/142) | 58% (74/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 88 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Darcy R. ⚽, Bonis L. (A),
- 39', Dibley-Dias M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, Duke-McKenna S. ⚽, McCoulsky S. (A),
- 63', Dibley-Dias M. ↓, Fleck J. ↑,
- 63', Duffy D. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
- 74', Darcy R. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
- 75', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
- 77', Taylor E. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
- 81', Bradbury T. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Dunkley C. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
- 83', Stirk R. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
- 87', Burrell W. ↓, Asare Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
18.1% | Draw
25.2% | Chesterfield
56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrogate Town's form might have worsened.Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrogate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Harrogate Town - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.55 ↑
(3.8) |
3.88 ↑
(3.6) |
1.7 ↓
(1.9) |
2.5%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Chesterfield is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Ankle Injury)
Sutton L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thomson G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Berry-McNally J.
(Injury)
Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tanton D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Chesterfield?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Harrogate Town?
Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Chesterfield were as follows:
22.03.2025
Chesterfield
-
Harrogate Town
0:0
16.11.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Chesterfield
2:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Salford | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Swindon | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Notts Co | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Bromley | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Oldham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 | Crewe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Barnet | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 9 |
| 18 | Accrington | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Barrow | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
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