Harrogate Town vs Chesterfield: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Harrogate Town - Chesterfield
Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 5
  • Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
Harrogate Town - Chesterfield - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.84
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
70% (290/414)72% (297/410)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.251.80
Total shots
913
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
118
Passes
70% (290/414)72% (297/410)
Long passes
35% (27/77)37% (33/90)
Passes in final third
59% (84/142)58% (74/128)
Crosses
27% (7/26)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.83
Throw-ins
3425
Fouls
811
Tackles
53% (16/30)69% (9/13)
Duels won
8856
Clearances
3136
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.800.25
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Darcy R. , Bonis L. (A),
  • 39', Dibley-Dias M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Duke-McKenna S. , McCoulsky S. (A),
  • 63', Dibley-Dias M. , Fleck J. ,
  • 63', Duffy D. , Markanday D. ,
  • 74', Darcy R. , Mandeville L. ,
  • 75', Bonis L. , Grigg W. ,
  • 77', Taylor E. , McAleny C. ,
  • 81', Bradbury T. , Faulkner B. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Dunkley C. , Mandeville L. (A),
  • 83', Stirk R. , Naylor T. ,
  • 87', Burrell W. , Asare Z. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Harrogate Town
18.1%
Draw
25.2%
Chesterfield
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 26% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 25.2% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrogate Town's form might have worsened.
  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrogate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Harrogate Town - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.55
    (3.8)
    3.88
    (3.6)
    1.7
    (1.9)
    2.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Chesterfield is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Ankle Injury) Sutton L. (Hamstring Injury) Thomson G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Berry-McNally J. (Injury) Butterfield L. (Foot Injury) Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury) Tanton D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M. (Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Chesterfield were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Chesterfield - Harrogate Town 0:0
    16.11.2024 Harrogate Town - Chesterfield 2:1
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham64209:3614
    2Chesterfield641111:8313
    3Bromley633010:5512
    4Crewe640210:6412
    5Swindon640211:8312
    6Walsall64026:4212
    7MK Dons632110:3711
    8Grimsby632110:6411
    9Fleetwood63219:8111
    10Cambridge Utd63128:6210
    11Salford63127:7010
    12Tranmere52219:458
    13Notts Co622211:928
    14Harrogate62227:8-18
    15Barnet62135:7-27
    16Bristol Rovers62134:6-27
    17Colchester61326:7-16
    18Barrow62044:6-26
    19Oldham60423:5-24
    20Newport61145:9-44
    21Accrington50323:6-33
    22Crawley60244:11-72
    23Shrewsbury60242:12-102
    24Cheltenham60152:12-101

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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