Harlequins vs Northampton Saints: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby union English Premiership Rugby Harlequins - Northampton Saints
Result
22:19
24/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Premiership Rugby - Round 11
  • Referee: Pearce L. (Eng)
Harlequins - Northampton Saints - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion Goals
12
Conversion Goal Attempts
43
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
2567
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Metres Run With Ball
664424

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 14)
  • 10', Pearson T. (Try),
  • 11', Makepeace Cubitt G. (Conversion Goal),
  • 19', Chisholm J. , Lawday T. ,
  • 25', Cleaves C. (Try),
  • 26', Evans J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 28', Haffar T. (Try),
  • 29', Makepeace Cubitt G. (Conversion Goal),
  • 38', Lawday T. (Try),
  • 39', Evans J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 5)
  • 45', Kerrod S. , Lewis D. ,
  • 45', Care D. , Porter W. ,
  • 45', Launchbury J. , Herbst I. ,
  • 47', Seabrook T. (Try),
  • 47', Makepeace Cubitt G. (Missed Conversion),
  • 50', Joseph W. (Try),
  • 50', Evans J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 51', Davidson T. , Green L. ,
  • 55', Haffar T. , West T. ,
  • 55', Jones W. , Els J. ,
  • 60', Augustus J. , Scott-Young A. ,
  • 64', Joseph W. , Benson J. ,
  • 64', McParland A. , James T. ,
  • 73', Walker J. , Riley S. ,
  • 76', Cleaves C. (Try),
  • 77', Evans J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 78', Cleaves C. , Halfpenny L. ,

Chances of winning


Harlequins
68.2%
Draw
3.6%
Northampton Saints
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 4.4% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 4.5% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harlequins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Harlequins's performance.
  • Northampton Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northampton Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harlequins than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harlequins that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Harlequins - Northampton Saints Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.65)
    25.78
    (21)
    3.25
    (2.34)
    8.5%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 54.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
  • What is the prediction for Harlequins - Northampton Saints?
    The most likely score is 31:23. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Harlequins won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Harlequins is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Harlequins to win the game is with odds 1.37.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Harlequins won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 560:568 (average 28:28.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Harlequins won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 272:205 (average 30.2:22.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Harlequins - Northampton Saints were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Northampton Saints - Harlequins 33:29
    27.04.2024 Harlequins - Northampton Saints 41:32
    24.11.2023 Northampton Saints - Harlequins 36:33
    01.01.2023 Northampton Saints - Harlequins 46:17
    11.10.2022 Northampton Saints - Harlequins 49:29
    Latest results of Harlequins
    12.01.2025 Toulon - Harlequins 33:21
    28.12.2024 Harlequins - Leicester Tigers 34:34
    20.12.2024 Gloucester - Harlequins 14:0
    Latest results of Northampton Saints
    English Premiership Rugby Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLPts
    1Bath151302568:33066
    2Leicester Tigers161015476:37656
    3Sale Sharks161006458:40249
    4Bristol15807520:49947
    5Gloucester15807490:41146
    6Saracens15807387:40044
    7Northampton Saints15708420:40838
    8Harlequins15618350:38538
    9Exeter Chiefs153012313:46021
    10Newcastle Falcons152013232:54312

          Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup

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