Hannover vs Arminia Bielefeld: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld
Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.091.06
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
80% (334/415)77% (254/331)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
3.091.06
xG on target (xGOT)
2.410.68
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
4231
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
80% (334/415)77% (254/331)
Long passes
50% (32/64)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
68% (89/130)65% (77/118)
Crosses
25% (4/16)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.98
Throw-ins
2627
Fouls
1611
Tackles
65% (13/20)82% (14/17)
Duels won
6051
Clearances
3735
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.682.41
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Okon I. , Blank H. ,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Felix J. , Momuluh T. (A),
  • 44', Tomiak B. (Pen),
  • 45+5', Mehlem M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Russo S. , Schneider L. ,
  • 52', Leopold E. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Chakroun H. , Noll N. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 1, Matsuda H. ,
  • 62', Momuluh T. , Young I. ,
  • 63', Mehlem M. , Schreck S. ,
  • 64', Ghita V. 🟨,
  • 65', Chakroun H. , Yokota D. ,
  • 78', Worl M. , Ocansey V. A. F. ,
  • 78', Kallman B. , Nielsen H. ,
  • 79', Leopold E. , Roggow F. ,
  • 79', Aseko-Nkili N. , Taibi W. ,
  • 83', Lannert C. , Boakye B. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Tomiak B. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hannover
50.5%
Draw
25.4%
Arminia Bielefeld
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 25.4% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 24.9% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hannover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.88)
    3.74
    (3.65)
    3.94
    (3.65)
    5.4%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hannover will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Arminia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hannover: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arminia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 2.
    • Hannover is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arminia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arminia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Arminia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Hannover is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Hannover: Bundu M. (Ankle Injury) Pichler B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Arminia: Boakye B. (Muscle Injury) Handwerker T. (Muscle Injury) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Sarenren Bazee N. (Muscle Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arminia: Worl M. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hannover won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover 2:0
    22.04.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover 1:3
    15.10.2022 Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld 2:0
    Latest results of Hannover
    21.09.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Hannover 2:2
    13.09.2025 Hannover - Hertha Berlin 0:3
    04.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Hannover 1:3
    30.08.2025 Holstein Kiel - Hannover 1:2
    23.08.2025 Hannover - Magdeburg 3:1
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke970213:5821
    2Paderborn962115:8720
    3Elversberg861116:61019
    4Kaiserslautern960318:11718
    5Darmstadt852114:6817
    6Hannover952215:13217
    7Karlsruher SC943213:12115
    8Hertha Berlin932411:10111
    9Preussen Munster932415:17-211
    10Arminia Bielefeld931517:16110
    11Holstein Kiel83149:8110
    12Greuther Furth831415:18-310
    13Braunschweig931511:17-610
    14Dusseldorf93159:17-810
    15SG Dynamo Dresden914414:18-47
    16Nurnberg82157:12-57
    17Bochum920711:17-66
    18Magdeburg81077:19-123

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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