Hamrun Spartans vs Lincoln Red Imps: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
3:1
27/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Kachevski J. (Mkd)
Hamrun Spartans - Lincoln Red Imps - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.181.11
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
114
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
79% (314/399)70% (191/274)
Yellow Cards
64
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.181.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.770.82
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
149
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1124
Passes
79% (314/399)70% (191/274)
Long passes
48% (27/56)37% (22/60)
Passes in final third
64% (93/146)52% (37/71)
Crosses
18% (5/28)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.19
Throw-ins
2313
Fouls
2411
Tackles
89% (8/9)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4461
Clearances
1541
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
0.821.77
Goals prevented
-0.18-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Ederson 🟨,
  • 41', Torrilla G. 🟨,
  • 45', Bjelicic O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Thioune S. , Smajlagic S. ,
  • 46', Ederson , El Fanis M. ,
  • 51', Koffi N. 🟨,
  • 51', Mandi 🟨,
  • 56', Polito V. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Lopes B. , De Barr T. (A),
  • 63', Torrilla G. 🟨,
  • 65', Hankins J. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, El Fanis M. , Koffi N. (A),
  • 67', Gomez K. , Pozo N. ,
  • 72', Garcia M. , Cadjenovic J. ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Smajlagic S. , Rafael Compri (A),
  • 79', Polito V. 🟨,
  • 82', Dabo B. , Munoz R. ,
  • 82', Mandi , Juanje ,
  • 85', Mbong J. , Coric A. ,
  • 90', Lopes B. , Elghobashy A. ,
  • 90+1', Koffi N. , Xerri S. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Coric A. , Cadjenovic J. (A),
  • 90+3', Bonello H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hamrun Spartans
60.3%
Draw
22.6%
Lincoln Red Imps
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 25% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamrun Spartans's performance.
  • Lincoln Red Imps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Hamrun Spartans - Lincoln Red Imps Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.71)
    4.17
    (3.77)
    5.51
    (4.72)
    5.7%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans - Lincoln Red Imps?
    • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Hamrun will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Lincoln Red Imps will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Hamrun: 59%91%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Lincoln Red Imps (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • DC - Lincoln Red Imps (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1 - Hamrun (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.5 - Lincoln Red Imps (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH -0.75 - Hamrun (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DNB - Hamrun (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Lincoln Red Imps (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Ta'Qali National Stadium.
    • Hamrun is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lincoln Red Imps may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hamrun has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Hamrun is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lincoln Red Imps: Britto E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lincoln Red Imps: Villacanas V. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hamrun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamrun Spartans - Lincoln Red Imps were as follows:
    16.07.2024 Lincoln Red Imps - Hamrun Spartans 1:1
    09.07.2024 Hamrun Spartans - Lincoln Red Imps 0:1
    Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
    Latest results of Lincoln Red Imps
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)3 : 0
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)3 : 0
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)3 : 0
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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