Hamburger SV vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf
Result
4:1
08/03/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 25
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.95
Ball Possession
63%37%
Goal Attempts
189
Shots on Goal
81
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
54
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
82
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Free Kicks
911
Offsides
21
Fouls
119
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1420
Touches in the Opposition Box
3513
Passes
92% (586/638)82% (308/374)
Passes in the final third
79% (132/168)77% (60/78)
Crosses
19% (4/21)18% (3/17)
Tackles
62% (8/13)43% (9/21)
Clearances Total
2026
Interceptions
113

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Muheim M. ,
  • 8', Kastenmeier F. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Kownacki D. , Kwarteng M. (A),
  • 40', 2 - 1, Selke D. , Dompe J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', Kwarteng M. , Appelkamp S. ,
  • 58', Siebert J. 🟨,
  • 66', 3 - 1, Karabec A. ,
  • 68', Selke D. 🟨,
  • 68', Hoffmann A. 🟨,
  • 76', Selke D. , Konigsdorffer R. ,
  • 76', Hoffmann A. , Iyoha E. ,
  • 76', Mikelbrencis W. , Hefti S. ,
  • 76', Pejcinovic D. , Vermeij V. ,
  • 85', Sahiti E. , Balde F. ,
  • 85', Karabec A. , Richter M. ,
  • 86', Kownacki D. , van Brederode M. ,
  • 86', Gavory N. , Niemiec J. ,
  • 90+3', Reis L. , Stange O. ,
  • 90+4', 4 - 1, Stange O. , Hefti S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV 55%Draw 23.5%Fortuna Düsseldorf 21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Hamburger SV 53%Draw 23.7%Fortuna Düsseldorf 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Hamburger SV 53.5%Draw 23.5%Fortuna Düsseldorf 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.77)
    4.03
    (3.95)
    4.42
    (4.02)
    5.5%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Hamburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Hamburg is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand) Soumahoro A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Iyoha E. (Muscle Injury) Jastrzembski D. (Shoulder Injury) Kwasigroch R. (Knee Injury) Rossmann T. (Injury) Sobottka M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Tendon Injury) Pherai I. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV 0:3
    08.03.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV 2:0
    29.09.2023 Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0
    31.03.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV 2:2
    17.09.2022 Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:0
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamburger SV321511670:403056
    2FC Koln32167947:371055
    3Elversberg321410859:362352
    4Paderborn321410854:421252
    5Magdeburg321311859:481150
    6Dusseldorf321311853:48550
    7Kaiserslautern321481054:50450
    8Hannover321310939:34549
    9Karlsruher SC321391052:53-148
    10Nurnberg321361355:54145
    11Hertha Berlin321271348:48043
    12Darmstadt321091352:52039
    13Schalke321081451:58-738
    14Greuther Furth32981541:56-1535
    15Braunschweig328111337:57-2035
    16Preussen Munster327111436:41-532
    17Ulm326111533:40-729
    18Regensburg ✔ 32662020:66-4624

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Regensburg is Relegated to 3. Liga
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