Darmstadt vs Hamburger SV: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga
Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Darmstadt - Hamburger SV
Result
0:4
03/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
Darmstadt - Hamburger SV - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.102.69
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
87% (413/475)75% (211/280)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.102.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.073.56
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
140
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
114
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
219
Passes
87% (413/475)75% (211/280)
Long passes
58% (32/55)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
72% (113/157)58% (40/69)
Crosses
44% (8/18)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.32
Throw-ins
1719
Fouls
921
Tackles
53% (10/19)59% (13/22)
Duels won
4943
Clearances
1129
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
3.560.07
Goals prevented
-0.440.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Forster P. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Reis L. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
  • 29', Bueno G. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
  • 43', Hadzikadunic D. ↓, Schonlau S. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Balde F. ↓, Sahiti E. ↑,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽,
  • 60', Vukotic A. 🟨,
  • 60', Selke D. 🟨,
  • 68', Forster P. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,
  • 69', Muller A. 🟨,
  • 74', Dompe J. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
  • 74', Muheim M. ↓, Hefti S. ↑,
  • 75', Schonlau S. 🟨,
  • 77', Meffert J. 🟨,
  • 80', 0 - 3, Selke D. ⚽, Pherai I. (A),
  • 81', Lopez S. ↓, Klefisch K. ↑,
  • 81', Corredor K. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
  • 82', Muller A. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
  • 82', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
  • 90+5', 0 - 4, Glatzel R. ⚽, Pherai I. (A),

Chances of winning


Darmstadt
31.2%		Draw
24.6%		Hamburger SV
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 24.5% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 25.5% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    Darmstadt - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.03 ↑
    (2.82)    		 3.86 ↑
    (3.86)    		 2.15 ↓
    (2.24)    		 5.5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Darmstadt - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 44.1% – 85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Brunst A. (Groin Injury) Dreskovic M. (Groin Injury) El Idrissi O. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Muheim M. (Calf Injury) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.5:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.9:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Hamburger SV - Darmstadt 2:2
    25.02.2023 Darmstadt - Hamburger SV 1:1
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    26.04.2025 Preußen Münster - Darmstadt 1:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Darmstadt - Hannover 3:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt 1:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth 1:0 ✺
    28.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    27.04.2025 Hamburger SV - Karlsruher 1:2 ✺
    19.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV 2:2 ✺
    11.04.2025 Hamburger SV - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:4 ✺
    05.04.2025 Nürnberg - Hamburger SV 0:3 ✺
    28.03.2025 Hamburger SV - Elversberg 0:0 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SG Dynamo Dresden00000:000
    2Braunschweig00000:000
    3Dusseldorf00000:000
    4Magdeburg00000:000
    5Holstein Kiel00000:000
    6Schalke00000:000
    7Hannover00000:000
    8Hertha Berlin00000:000
    9Karlsruher SC00000:000
    10Bochum00000:000
    11Arminia Bielefeld00000:000
    12Nurnberg00000:000
    13Greuther Furth00000:000
    14Kaiserslautern00000:000
    15Paderborn00000:000
    16Darmstadt00000:000
    17Preussen Munster00000:000
    18Elversberg00000:000

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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