Suwon vs Gwangju: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer South Korean K-League 1 Suwon - Gwangju
Result
2:4
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : K League 1 - Round 29
Suwon - Gwangju - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
58
Corner Kicks
710
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
710
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
117
Fouls
78
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ahn Jun-Su (Own goal),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Sabbag P. (Pen),
  • 30', Lee Jae-Won 🟨,
  • 34', Jung Seung-Bae , Andrigo ,
  • 36', 1 - 2, Byeon Jun-Soo , Oh Hoo-Sung (A),
  • 41', 2 - 2, Park In-Hyeok (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Moon Min-seo , Shin Chang-Moo ,
  • 61', Lee K. , Yu Je-Ho ,
  • 61', Park In-Hyeok , Jeong J. ,
  • 63', Ahn Hyun-Beom , Seo Jae-Min ,
  • 79', Lee S. , Kyeong-min K. ,
  • 80', Han Chan-Hee , Roh Kyung-Ho ,
  • 81', Ha Seung-Un , Cho Sung-Gwon ,
  • 83', 2 - 3, Cho Sung-Gwon , Shin Chang-Moo (A),
  • 90+6', 2 - 4, Reis , Shin Chang-Moo (A),
  • 90+9', Sim Sang-Min , Ahn Young-Kyu ,
  • 90+14', Shin Chang-Moo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Suwon
33.5%
Draw
28.3%
Gwangju
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.3% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 30.4% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suwon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gwangju, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Suwon - Gwangju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.49)
    3.42
    (3.32)
    2.48
    (2.76)
    3.9%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Suwon - Gwangju?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gwangju will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 2.
    • In recent matches, Suwon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gwangju is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Suwon has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Suwon - Gwangju were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Suwon - Gwangju 2:1
    14.05.2025 Suwon - Gwangju 1:2
    15.02.2025 Gwangju - Suwon 0:0
    27.07.2024 Gwangju - Suwon 1:0
    25.06.2024 Suwon - Gwangju 1:0
    Latest results of Suwon
    30.08.2025 Daegu - Suwon 3:1
    23.08.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon 3:2
    16.08.2025 Suwon - Ulsan HD 4:2
    10.08.2025 Daejeon Citizen - Suwon 3:2
    02.08.2025 Ulsan HD - Suwon 2:3
    Latest results of Gwangju
    30.08.2025 Jeju - Gwangju 0:1
    27.08.2025 Bucheon - Gwangju 1:2
    23.08.2025 Gwangju - Gangwon 0:1
    20.08.2025 Gwangju - Bucheon 2:0
    17.08.2025 Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen 2:0
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk ✔ 30206453:252866
    2Gimcheon Sangmu30147947:331449
    3Daejeon30139842:39348
    4Pohang301461037:37048
    5Seoul301110940:38243
    6Gwangju FC301181132:35-341
    7Gangwon301181129:33-441
    8Anyang301141537:39-237
    9Ulsan HD30991236:39-336
    10Suwon FC30971443:47-434
    11Jeju SK30871530:39-931
    12Daegu ✔ 30571835:57-2222

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Suwon - Gwangju?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, Sky Sports Korea
    worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball
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