Suwon vs Gwangju: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer South Korean Cup Suwon - Gwangju
Result
1:2 penalties
14/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Korean Cup - 1/8-finals
Suwon - Gwangju - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', 🟨,
  • 41', 🟨,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 74', 0 - 1, Moon Min-seo ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Kim Do-Yoon ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 120+1', 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Suwon
34.4%
Draw
30.3%
Gwangju
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 30.2% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 32% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Suwon - Gwangju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.57)
    3.06
    (3.04)
    2.6
    (2.7)
    8.6%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Suwon - Gwangju?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 2.
    • Recent form of Suwon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gwangju has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Suwon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 11:31. (average 0.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Suwon - Gwangju were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Gwangju - Suwon 0:0
    27.07.2024 Gwangju - Suwon 1:0
    25.06.2024 Suwon - Gwangju 1:0
    27.04.2024 Gwangju - Suwon 1:2
    22.07.2023 Suwon - Gwangju 0:1
    Latest results of Suwon
    10.05.2025 Pohang Steelers - Suwon 2:0
    06.05.2025 Suwon - Daegu 2:1
    03.05.2025 Gangwon - Suwon 0:0
    19.04.2025 Anyang - Suwon 3:1
    Latest results of Gwangju
    05.05.2025 Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu 1:0
    02.05.2025 Ulsan HD - Gwangju 3:0
    25.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Gwangju 7:0
    19.04.2025 FC Seoul - Gwangju 1:2
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1Yangsan EogokBusan Kyotong1 : 2
    2ByeBusan
    4ByeSuwon FC
    5Gwangju FCBye
    7Gyeongju KHNPBye
    8Seoul JungnangPaju Citizen0 : 3
    9Ulsan HDBye
    13Gimhae JaemicsChuncheon2 : 4
    14ByeIncheon
    15GyeongnamBye
    16Pyeongchang UnitedYangpyeong2 : 1
    17HyochangGijang United0 : 4
    18ByeGimpo FC
    19Cheonan CityBye
    20CheongsolPocheon0 : 5
    24ByePohang
    25Yeoju CitizenMokpo4 : 3
    26ByeBucheon FC 1995
    28ByeJeju SK
    29Gimcheon SangmuBye
    31Suwon BluewingsBye
    32ByeSeoul E-Land
    33Incheon SeogotDaejeon Korail0 : 9
    34ByeCheongju
    35ChangwonBye
    36GeonyungNamyangju1 : 5
    40ByeSeoul
    41Dangjin CitizenGangneung1 : 2
    42ByeAsan
    44ByeDaejeon
    45JeonbukBye
    47Ansan GreenersBye
    48Jeonbuk JeonjuPyeongtaek Citizen0 : 6
    49Sejong SAUlsan Citizen3 : 0
    50ByeJeonnam
    52ByeAnyang
    53DaeguBye
    55GimhaeBye
    56Yangcheon TNTGeoje0 : 1
    57GangwonBye
    61Siheung CitizenBye
    62ByeSeongnam
    63HwaseongBye
    64Jinju CitizenYeoncheon1 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1Busan KyotongBusan2 : 1
    2ByeSuwon FC
    3Gwangju FCBye
    4Gyeongju KHNPPaju Citizen4 : 1
    5Ulsan HDBye
    7ChuncheonIncheon0 : 3
    8GyeongnamPyeongchang United0 : 3
    9Gijang UnitedGimpo FC0 : 4
    10Cheonan CityPocheon1 : 0
    12ByePohang
    13Yeoju CitizenBucheon FC 19951 : 3
    14ByeJeju SK
    15Gimcheon SangmuBye
    16Suwon BluewingsSeoul E-Land2 : 1
    17Daejeon KorailCheongju1 : 0
    18ChangwonNamyangju1 : 2
    20ByeSeoul
    21GangneungAsan1 : 0
    22ByeDaejeon
    23JeonbukBye
    24Ansan GreenersPyeongtaek Citizen3 : 1
    25Sejong SAJeonnam3 : 1
    26ByeAnyang
    27DaeguBye
    28GimhaeGeoje5 : 1
    29GangwonBye
    31Siheung CitizenSeongnam3 : 2
    32HwaseongJinju Citizen1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Busan KyotongSuwon FC1 : 2
    2Gwangju FCGyeongju KHNP2 : 0
    3Ulsan HDBye
    4IncheonPyeongchang United2 : 1
    5Gimpo FCCheonan City2 : 1
    6ByePohang
    7Bucheon FC 1995Jeju SK1 : 0
    8Gimcheon SangmuSuwon Bluewings2 : 0
    9Daejeon KorailNamyangju3 : 0
    10ByeSeoul
    11GangneungDaejeon1 : 2
    12JeonbukAnsan Greeners3 : 0
    13Sejong SAAnyang0 : 1
    14DaeguGimhae2 : 0
    15GangwonBye
    16Siheung CitizenHwaseong1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Suwon FCGwangju FC1 : 2
    2Ulsan HDIncheon3 : 0
    3Gimpo FCPohang2 : 1
    4Bucheon FC 1995Gimcheon Sangmu3 : 1
    5Daejeon KorailSeoul1 : 2
    6DaejeonJeonbuk2 : 3
    7AnyangDaegu1 : 2
    8GangwonSiheung Citizen2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Gwangju FCUlsan HD
    2Gimpo FCBucheon FC 1995
    3SeoulJeonbuk
    4DaeguGangwon

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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