Suwon vs Gwangju: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer South Korean K-League 1 Suwon - Gwangju
Result
2:1
18/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : K League 1 - Round 22
Suwon - Gwangju - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1116
Fouls
1311
Goalkeeper Saves
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Lee K. 🟨,
  • 10', Han Chan-Hee 🟨,
  • 39', Luan Dias 🟨,
  • 44', Jin Si-woo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 61', Ji Dong-Won , Sabbag P. ,
  • 61', Jeong J. , Oh Hoo-Sung ,
  • 61', Min Sang-Gi , Byeon Jun-Soo ,
  • 67', Han Chan-Hee , Kyeong-min K. ,
  • 67', Sim Sang-Min , Kim Han-Gil ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Asani J. (Pen),
  • 83', Lee S. , Seo Jae-Min ,
  • 83', Ahn Hyun-Beom , Andrigo ,
  • 83', Lee Yong , Lee Hyeon-yong ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Willyan , Seo Jae-Min (A),
  • 90', 2 - 1, Kim Kyung-Min (Own goal),
  • 90+8', Lee Ji-Sol 🟨,

Chances of winning


Suwon
30.9%
Draw
29.3%
Gwangju
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 29.2% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 29.3% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Suwon - Gwangju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (2.81)
    3.21
    (3.22)
    2.37
    (2.51)
    6.3%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Suwon - Gwangju?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Gwangju will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gwangju: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 2.
    • Suwon has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Gwangju is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:33. (average 0.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Suwon - Gwangju were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Suwon - Gwangju 1:2
    15.02.2025 Gwangju - Suwon 0:0
    27.07.2024 Gwangju - Suwon 1:0
    25.06.2024 Suwon - Gwangju 1:0
    27.04.2024 Gwangju - Suwon 1:2
    Latest results of Suwon
    28.06.2025 Suwon - Gangwon 1:2
    14.06.2025 Suwon - Anyang 1:2
    01.06.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon 1:1
    27.05.2025 Suwon - Jeju 0:1
    Latest results of Gwangju
    02.07.2025 Gwangju - Ulsan HD 1:0
    28.06.2025 Anyang - Gwangju 1:2
    22.06.2025 Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen 2:2
    18.06.2025 Jeju - Gwangju 0:1
    13.06.2025 Gwangju - FC Seoul 1:3
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk ✔ 28196351:232863
    2Gimcheon Sangmu28137844:301446
    3Daejeon28129739:36345
    4Pohang281351035:36-144
    5Seoul281010835:35040
    6Gwangju FC281081028:30-238
    7Gangwon281081026:30-438
    8Ulsan HD28971235:38-334
    9Anyang281031535:38-333
    10Suwon FC28871340:43-331
    11Jeju SK28871329:36-731
    12Daegu ✔ 28471731:53-2219

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Suwon - Gwangju?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
    worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball
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