FC Seoul vs Gwangju: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer South Korean K-League 1 FC Seoul - Gwangju
Result
3:0
21/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : K League 1 - Round 30
FC Seoul - Gwangju - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
157
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
45
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
108
Fouls
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Dugandzic M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Choi Kyoung-Rok 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 59', Jeong J. , Park In-Hyeok ,
  • 59', Ha Seung-Un , Cho Sung-Gwon ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, Dugandzic M. ,
  • 74', Shin Chang-Moo , Ju Se-Jong ,
  • 74', Yu Je-Ho , Fridjonsson H. ,
  • 75', Dugandzic M. , Moon Seon-Min ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Lee Seung-Mo , Kim Jin-Su (A),
  • 84', Choi Chul-Won 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 0, Moon Seon-Min , Cho Young-Wook (A),
  • 86', Choi Kyoung-Rok , Moon Min-seo ,
  • 90', Lee Seung-Mo , Hwang Do-Yun ,
  • 90+5', Cho Young-Wook , Cheon Seong-Hoon ,
  • 90+5', Al Arab Y. , Park Seong-Hoon ,

Chances of winning


FC Seoul
46.3%
Draw
29.2%
Gwangju
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 27.9% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 28.3% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • FC Seoul - Gwangju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.94)
    3.22
    (3.4)
    3.91
    (4.08)
    5.6%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for FC Seoul - Gwangju?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Seoul (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: FC Seoul will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 1.
    • Seoul is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gwangju is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Seoul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Seoul is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Seoul won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FC Seoul - Gwangju were as follows:
    13.06.2025 Gwangju - FC Seoul 1:3
    19.04.2025 FC Seoul - Gwangju 1:2
    06.10.2024 Gwangju - FC Seoul 3:1
    02.06.2024 FC Seoul - Gwangju 1:2
    02.03.2024 Gwangju - FC Seoul 2:0
    Latest results of FC Seoul
    16.09.2025 Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul 1:1
    13.09.2025 Gangwon - FC Seoul 3:2
    31.08.2025 FC Seoul - Anyang 1:2
    24.08.2025 FC Seoul - Ulsan HD 3:2
    17.08.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - FC Seoul 5:2
    Latest results of Gwangju
    14.09.2025 Suwon - Gwangju 2:4
    30.08.2025 Jeju - Gwangju 0:1
    27.08.2025 Bucheon - Gwangju 1:2
    23.08.2025 Gwangju - Gangwon 0:1
    20.08.2025 Gwangju - Bucheon 2:0
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk ✔ 30206453:252866
    2Gimcheon Sangmu30147947:331449
    3Daejeon30139842:39348
    4Pohang301461037:37048
    5Seoul301110940:38243
    6Gwangju FC301181132:35-341
    7Gangwon301181129:33-441
    8Anyang301141537:39-237
    9Ulsan HD30991236:39-336
    10Suwon FC30971443:47-434
    11Jeju SK30871530:39-931
    12Daegu ✔ 30571835:57-2222

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of FC Seoul - Gwangju?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaLaola1
    germanyGermanyLaola1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
    russiaRussiaTV Start
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, Sky Sports Korea
    switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1
    worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball
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