Guy Den Ouden vs Elias Ymer: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Guy Den Ouden - Elias Ymer
Result
2:0
23/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals
Guy Den Ouden - Elias Ymer - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
70%66%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (30/46)53% (29/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (8/20)39% (11/28)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)54% (7/13)
1st Return Points Won
47% (26/55)37% (17/46)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (17/28)60% (12/20)
Break Points Converted
46% (6/13)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
58% (38/66)48% (40/83)
Return Points Won
52% (43/83)42% (28/66)
Total Points Won
54% (81/149)46% (68/149)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
64% (7/11)40% (4/10)
Return Games Won
60% (6/10)36% (4/11)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Guy Den Ouden
66.9%
Elias Ymer
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guy Den Ouden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Guy Den Ouden - Elias Ymer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.36)

    2.81
    (3)
    6.3%
    (6.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 160. Ymer is ranked ATP: 242.
    • Den Ouden has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Ymer is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Den Ouden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Den Ouden is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Den Ouden will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Guy Den Ouden
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Travaglia S.TBD #4
    3Carballes Baena R. (3)Llamas Ruiz P.
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.
    6Monteiro T.TBD #12
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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