Red Star vs Guingamp: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Red Star - Guingamp
Result
3:1
01/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 25
  • Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
Red Star - Guingamp - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.56
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
108
Shots on Goal
94
Shots off Goal
03
Blocked Shots
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
25
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
20
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
Free Kicks
2214
Offsides
24
Fouls
1422
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
2311
Touches in the Opposition Box
2117
Passes
83% (428/517)83% (313/378)
Passes in the final third
67% (66/98)73% (72/99)
Crosses
43% (6/14)32% (6/19)
Tackles
73% (11/15)84% (16/19)
Clearances Total
1416
Interceptions
1110

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Mendes J. A. , Labeau B. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Kouagba L. , Renel S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Labeau B. , Siwe J. ,
  • 58', Phiri L. , Hemia A. ,
  • 58', Ghrieb R. , Picard H. ,
  • 69', Mendes J. A. , Sagna A. ,
  • 73', Benali H. , Badji A. ,
  • 73', Durand D. , Cisse K. ,
  • 82', Mbock H. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Cisse K. ,
  • 89', Renel S. , Escartin J. ,
  • 90+1', Siwe J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Cisse K. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/452ayxz9

Chances of winning


Red Star
33.7%
Draw
29.1%
Guingamp
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 28.1% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 27.1% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guingamp could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Red Star - Guingamp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (3.05)
    3.24
    (3.3)
    2.53
    (2.24)
    6.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Red Star - Guingamp?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Red Star is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Guingamp is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Red Star could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Guingamp have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Red Star: Beunardeau Q. (Knee Injury) Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Eickmayer J. (Injury) Mendy B. (Injury) Meyapya B. (Injury) Slimani R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Basilio E. (Injury) Le Bris T. (Injury) Ndour A. (Injury) Planeix I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Red Star: Danger B. (Injury) Dembi F. J. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Red Star won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Guingamp were as follows:
    30.08.2024 Guingamp - Red Star 3:4
    Latest results of Red Star
    21.02.2025 Bastia - Red Star 1:0
    14.02.2025 Red Star - Martigues 1:0
    07.02.2025 Grenoble - Red Star 0:0
    01.02.2025 Red Star - Lorient 1:2
    25.01.2025 Paris FC - Red Star 4:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    25.02.2025 Cannes - Guingamp 3:1
    21.02.2025 Grenoble - Guingamp 1:1
    15.02.2025 Guingamp - Metz 0:3
    08.02.2025 Ajaccio - Guingamp 0:3
    05.02.2025 Toulouse - Guingamp 0:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    2MetzDunkerque

    Final
    1ByeTBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Red Star - Guingamp?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free
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