Guingamp vs Nancy: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Guingamp - Nancy
Result
2:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
Guingamp - Nancy - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.77
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
89% (565/633)76% (203/268)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.391.34
Total shots
157
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
288
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
178
Passes
89% (565/633)76% (203/268)
Long passes
70% (31/44)44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
74% (131/176)56% (50/89)
Crosses
23% (6/26)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.980.77
Throw-ins
3014
Fouls
817
Tackles
57% (4/7)83% (19/23)
Duels won
4443
Clearances
1539
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.341.39
Goals prevented
-0.66-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Ouotro P. ,
  • 58', Hatchi J. , Mbemba F. ,
  • 58', Ott G. , Ourega D. ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Gomis D. , Ourega D. (A),
  • 63', Carlier M. 🟨,
  • 67', Bouriaud T. , Bokangu B. ,
  • 67', Bouabdelli W. , Camara B. ,
  • 70', Carlier M. 🟨,
  • 75', Ouotro P. , Evans J. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Fdaouch Z. , Evans J. (A),
  • 79', Sidibe K. , N'Landu D. ,
  • 79', Kielt S. , Sagna A. ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Mafouta L. , Ourega D. (A),
  • 90+2', Ourega D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gomis D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Fdaouch Z. , Maouassa F. ,
  • 90+7', Fernandez N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guingamp
31.2%
Draw
30.4%
Nancy
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 25.6% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 24.7% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guingamp's form might have worsened.
  • Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nancy's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+17.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guingamp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nancy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guingamp - Nancy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.68
    (1.97)
    3.41
    (3.6)
    2.61
    (3.35)
    -5.2%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Guingamp - Nancy?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Nancy will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 50%). Nancy (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.
    • Guingamp is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nancy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Guingamp will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sagna A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Nancy: Dabasse A. (Inactive) Mendy E. (Inactive) Sourzac M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Guingamp: Sidibe K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nancy: Ouotro P. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    Latest results of Guingamp
    27.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Guingamp 2:3
    23.09.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 2:1
    20.09.2025 Troyes - Guingamp 5:2
    15.09.2025 Guingamp - Montpellier 1:0
    30.08.2025 Bastia - Guingamp 1:3
    Latest results of Nancy
    26.09.2025 Nancy - Reims 0:1
    23.09.2025 Annecy - Nancy 1:2
    19.09.2025 Nancy - Red Star 0:1
    12.09.2025 Troyes - Nancy 3:0
    29.08.2025 Nancy - Pau 2:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes962119:91020
    2St Etienne962119:10920
    3Pau FC962116:8820
    4Red Star952215:9617
    5Reims942314:13114
    6Guingamp942316:19-314
    7Nancy933310:11-112
    8Rodez93338:11-312
    9Montpellier93248:10-211
    10Dunkerque924316:14210
    11Le Mans924311:12-110
    12Clermont92439:13-410
    13Amiens923411:13-29
    14Grenoble923410:12-29
    15Annecy92349:12-39
    16Boulogne93067:11-49
    17Laval91537:11-48
    18Bastia90454:11-74

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Guingamp - Nancy?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
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