Náutico Marcílio Dias vs Guarany de Bagé: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D Náutico Marcílio Dias - Guarany de Bagé
Result
1:1
20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 13
Náutico Marcílio Dias - Guarany de Bagé - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
94
Total shots
108
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
73
Corner Kicks
94
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 75', 1 - 0, ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Náutico Marcílio Dias
55.8%
Draw
29.1%
Guarany de Bagé
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 26.5% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 27.8% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias - Guarany de Bagé Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.66)
    3.16
    (3.4)
    6.08
    (4.7)
    9%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Guarany de Bagé may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Marcílio Dias is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marcílio Dias won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Marcílio Dias - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Guarany de Bagé - Náutico Marcílio Dias 3:3
    Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC
    3ImperatrizManaus
    4America RNJuazeirense
    5AE AltosIndependencia
    6Santa CruzSergipe
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0
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