Guaraní Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano
Result
4:1
31/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.41
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
80% (306/381)67% (170/255)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.870.13
Total shots
137
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1820
Passes
80% (306/381)67% (170/255)
Long passes
54% (26/48)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
69% (83/121)45% (39/86)
Crosses
14% (3/22)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.40
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
2018
Tackles
56% (5/9)76% (13/17)
Duels won
5760
Clearances
3433
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.131.87
Goals prevented
-0.87-2.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', Valdez D. 🟨,
  • 19', Manzur A. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Fernandez F. , Ramirez I. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Valdez D. ,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Manzur A. (Pen),
  • 45+2', Valdez D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Aranda P. , Sarquis E. ,
  • 46', Rodas E. , Moreira E. ,
  • 46', Paredes M. , Benitez J. ,
  • 56', 3 - 1, Rodriguez D. , Martinez L. (A),
  • 58', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 70', Leon M. , Baez F. ,
  • 73', Manzur A. , Marecos G. ,
  • 73', Ramirez I. , Alfonso O. ,
  • 73', Samudio A. , Vera F. ,
  • 80', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 84', Rodriguez D. , Mino Amarilla C. E. ,
  • 84', 4 - 1, Zaracho S. ,
  • 90', Fernandez F. , Romero A. ,
  • 90', Benitez Cabrera A. J. , Gomez L. ,

Chances of winning


Guaraní Asuncion
38.8%
Draw
31.5%
Sportivo Ameliano
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 28.3% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 27.1% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.
  • Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Ameliano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2)
    2.93
    (3.28)
    3.12
    (3.66)
    8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guaraní will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 1:3
    10.03.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion 2:0
    12.10.2024 Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 1:1
    02.10.2024 Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion 1:2
    07.08.2024 Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion 2:2
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Porteno651013:6716
    2Nacional Asuncion63218:4411
    3Sportivo Trinidense632110:7311
    4Guarani53118:3510
    5Sp. Luqueno63127:6110
    6Olimpia Asuncion622211:1018
    72 de Mayo62228:9-18
    8Libertad Asuncion52125:327
    9Recoleta52039:11-26
    10Ameliano51134:9-54
    11General Caballero JLM50141:9-81
    12Atl. Tembetary50054:11-70

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