Sportivo Ameliano vs Guaraní Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion
12/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Sportivo Ameliano
28.3%
Draw
29.1%
Guaraní Asuncion
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 29.4% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 28.4% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.22)
    3.18
    (3.19)
    2.21
    (2.27)
    6.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 2.
    • Recent form of Sportivo Ameliano has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guaraní is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sportivo Ameliano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Guaraní could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
    31.07.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 4:1
    18.05.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 1:3
    10.03.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion 2:0
    12.10.2024 Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 1:1
    02.10.2024 Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion 1:2
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani15102333:132032
    2Cerro Porteno1594226:161031
    3Nacional Asuncion1575320:13726
    42 de Mayo1574420:17325
    5Sportivo Trinidense1565420:18223
    6Recoleta1563624:22221
    7General Caballero JLM1554615:21-619
    8Olimpia Asuncion1554621:25-419
    9Libertad Asuncion1546516:14218
    10Sp. Luqueno1552818:25-717
    11Ameliano15321015:29-1411
    12Atl. Tembetary15131114:29-156

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )

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