Guaraní Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion
21/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Guaraní Asuncion
36.9%
Draw
28.8%
Nacional Asuncion
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 27.3% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 27.7% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.28)
    3.2
    (3.3)
    2.72
    (2.7)
    8.1%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Guaraní has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 1:0
    26.04.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 2:1
    15.02.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 1:2
    29.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 0:0
    20.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 2:1
    Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani1281329:121725
    2Nacional Asuncion1264216:9722
    3Cerro Porteno1264221:16522
    4Sportivo Trinidense1363419:17221
    5General Caballero JLM1353514:18-418
    6Libertad Asuncion1245315:10517
    7Sp. Luqueno1352618:21-317
    82 de Mayo1244414:17-316
    9Recoleta1243517:18-115
    10Olimpia Asuncion1334617:24-713
    11Ameliano1232713:21-811
    12Atl. Tembetary1213813:23-106

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )

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