Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 16
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (173/253) | 85% (417/492) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (173/253) | 85% (417/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (14/61) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/86) | 69% (87/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 26% (8/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Ramirez Antunez R. C. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Cantero A. ⚽,
- 44', Caceres D. 🟨,
- 44', Rojas S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nunez C. ↓, Canete Torres A. D. ↑,
- 51', Manzur A. 🟨,
- 60', Arrua C. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
- 60', Maidana A. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 60', Manzur A. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
- 61', Torales Richard ↓, Mendieta W. ↑,
- 66', Fernandez F. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 1, Prieto R. ⚽, Colman C. (A),
- 68', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Patino Martinez J. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Fernandez F. ⚽, Mendieta W. (A),
- 80', Caballero G. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
- 80', Caceres D. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 80', Caballero Fleytas T. I. 🟨,
- 90+1', Perez D. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
- 90+4', Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
34.2% | Draw
31.2% | Nacional Asuncion
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.23) |
2.98 ↓
(3.25) |
2.69 ↓
(3.05) |
7.6%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Guaraní Asuncion will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 2.
- Guaraní is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Nacional is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Nacional have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:27 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Nacional Asuncion?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
15.02.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
29.11.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:0
20.11.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:1
16.09.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:0
28.04.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
3:1
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 33:18 | 15 | 39 |
| 3 | Guarani | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 | Ameliano | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 29 |
| 7 | Recoleta | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 27 |
| 8 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | General Caballero JLM | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 13:25 | -12 | 22 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 18 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
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Which TV channels are streaming of Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
