Nacional Asuncion vs Guaraní Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion
Result
1:0
12/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Benitez D. (Par)
Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.760.62
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
72% (282/390)75% (314/418)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.760.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.400.38
Total shots
108
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
72% (282/390)75% (314/418)
Long passes
35% (26/74)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
55% (61/110)52% (47/91)
Crosses
28% (5/18)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.61
Throw-ins
1822
Fouls
1313
Tackles
56% (5/9)50% (11/22)
Duels won
6062
Clearances
1818
Interceptions
1511
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.380.40
Goals prevented
0.38-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Prieto R. 🟨,
  • 26', Franco F. 🟨,
  • 38', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Bailone I. 🟨,
  • 57', Mendieta W. 🟨,
  • 60', Jara F. , Santacruz J. ,
  • 60', Arrua C. , Benitez H. ,
  • 60', Prieto R. , Valdez I. ,
  • 60', Mendieta W. , Torales R. ,
  • 61', Maidana A. , Fernandez D. ,
  • 69', Servin T. , Riveros P. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Benitez H. , Gaona Lugo O. (A),
  • 84', Gomez G. , Ramirez I. ,
  • 86', Gaona Lugo O. , Canete Torres A. D. ,

Chances of winning


Nacional Asuncion
44.7%
Draw
31.3%
Guaraní Asuncion
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 29.9% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 28.9% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.97)
    2.97
    (3.1)
    3.86
    (4.04)
    8.3%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Nacional is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 2:1
    15.02.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 1:2
    29.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 0:0
    20.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 2:1
    16.09.2024 Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 0:0
    Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional Asuncion32103:127
    2Sportivo Trinidense22008:536
    3Cerro Porteno22004:136
    4Sp. Luqueno22003:036
    5Olimpia Asuncion31117:614
    62 de Mayo31112:3-14
    7Guarani21013:213
    8Ameliano21011:103
    9Recoleta21015:6-13
    10Libertad Asuncion30120:2-21
    11Atl. Tembetary30033:7-40
    12General Caballero JLM30031:6-50

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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