Shenzhen vs Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base (Shenzhen).

: Yi League - Round 13

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.42	0.47
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
81% (311/386)	84% (320/382)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.42	0.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.79	0.75
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
21	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
18	10
Passes
81% (311/386)	84% (320/382)
Long passes
38% (18/48)	56% (34/61)
Passes in final third
62% (78/125)	64% (61/95)
Crosses
10% (2/20)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.60	0.41
Throw-ins
19	12
Fouls
10	18
Tackles
71% (10/14)	82% (14/17)
Duels won
46	50
Clearances
13	43
Interceptions
5	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.75	0.79
Goals prevented
-0.25	-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Chen Xing 🟨,
29', Wang Zhiyuan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Huang Z. ↓, Ruoke Xiang ↑,
46', Chen Xing ↓, Li Zhuoxuan ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Li Zhuoxuan ⚽, Ling Zheng (A),
59', Diao Jiahao ↓, Li Bin ↑,
59', Li L. ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
59', Wang Zhiyuan ↓, Wang Ziyang ↑,
63', Huang Peizhao ↓, Li Haoyu ↑,
63', Chen Yuhao ↓, Yang Youxian ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Chen W. ⚽, Jiang W. (A),
77', Li Mingjie ↓, Shi Z. ↑,
88', 🟨,
88', Zhong Wen ↓, Hu H. ↑,
88', Ling Zheng ↓, Cai M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Shenzhen
45.7%

Draw
31.6%

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

32%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

31.6%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen's performance.

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shenzhen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.3)	2.86 ↑ (2.8)	3.98 ↑ (3.1)	10.7% (11.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
Shenzhen is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Guangzhou Dandelion has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Guangzhou Dandelion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Shenzhen is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen won against Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?

Shenzhen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha won against Shenzhen?

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha were as follows:

29.03.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Shenzhen 2:0

Latest results of Shenzhen

01.06.2025 Shenzhen - Guangdong Mingtu 1:1 ✺

26.05.2025 Chengdu Rongcheng B - Shenzhen 0:2 ✺

16.05.2025 Shenzhen - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 2:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Shenzhen - Guangxi Lanhang 2:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Wuhan Three Towns B - Shenzhen 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha

31.05.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Chengdu Rongcheng B 2:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 0:0 ✺

20.05.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Zhejiang Professional 0:1 ✺

16.05.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen 1:3 ✺

10.05.2025 Quanzhou Yassin - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 0:1 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

2025

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wuxi Wugou	13	9	3	1	19:6	13	30
2	Nantong Haimen	13	6	5	2	27:17	10	23
3	Changchun Xidu	12	7	2	3	12:5	7	23
4	Shandong Taishan B	13	6	5	2	18:13	5	23
5	Shanghai Port B	13	5	4	4	16:11	5	19
6	Jiangxi Lushan	13	5	3	5	16:16	0	18
7	Hangzhou Linping	13	4	4	5	13:18	-5	16
8	Taian Tiankuang	12	3	3	6	12:14	-2	12
9	Hubei Istar	11	3	3	5	12:13	-1	12
10	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	13	2	6	5	6:21	-15	12
11	Lanzhou Longyuan	13	2	5	6	8:16	-8	11
12	Beijing Technology	13	2	1	10	9:18	-9	7

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen	13	10	2	1	27:6	21	32
2	Shenzhen	13	7	4	2	14:8	6	25
3	Chengdu Rongcheng B	13	7	2	4	23:11	12	23
4	Guizhou Zhucheng	12	7	1	4	15:13	2	22
5	Guangzhou Dandelion	13	6	3	4	17:12	5	21
6	Wenzhou Professional	12	4	5	3	12:13	-1	17
7	Wuhan Three Towns B	12	4	4	4	11:8	3	16
8	Kunming City Star	13	4	4	5	11:18	-7	16
9	Ganzhou Ruishi	12	2	6	4	9:13	-4	12
10	Guangdong Mingtu	13	1	6	6	7:16	-9	9
11	Quanzhou Yassin	11	1	3	7	4:13	-9	6
12	Guangxi Lanhang	13	0	4	9	7:26	-19	4

Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
Yi League (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Shenzhen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: