Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha vs Kunming City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/05/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zengcheng Stadium (Guangzhou).

: Yi League - Round 8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	1.18
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
16	13
Shots on target
7	6
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
81% (317/393)	74% (248/336)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	1.18
xG on target (xGOT)
2.20	1.08
Total shots
16	13
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
13	6
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
26	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
19	11
Passes
81% (317/393)	74% (248/336)
Long passes
42% (21/50)	42% (25/59)
Passes in final third
66% (72/109)	46% (34/74)
Crosses
52% (11/21)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.48
Throw-ins
21	28
Fouls
11	19
Tackles
64% (9/14)	59% (16/27)
Duels won
60	57
Clearances
28	27
Interceptions
14	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	6
xGOT faced
1.08	2.20
Goals prevented
-0.92	1.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Song X. 🟨,
42', Hu H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hu H. ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
46', Cai M. ↓, Chen Xing ↑,
46', Ling Zheng ↓, Liang Yibin ↑,
55', Liang Yibin 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Huang Yiwen ⚽, Huang Peizhao (A),
57', Yao Zhiyu 🟨,
63', Huang Yiwen ↓, Li Haoyu ↑,
76', Zhang J. ↓, Gong Z. ↑,
76', Tang Daozheng ↓, Li G. ↑,
77', Song X. ↓, Tuyghun J. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Tuyghun J. ⚽, Sun Z. (A),
87', Chen Yuhao ↓, Tan Jiajun ↑,
87', Ling Chuanbin ↓, Li Zhuoxuan ↑,
90+3', Sun Z. ↓, Wang S. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Wang S. ⚽,
90+6', Wang S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
45.4%

Draw
30.4%

Kunming City
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

29.6%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

28.6%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha's form might have worsened.

Kunming City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kunming City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Kunming City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.79)	3.02 ↓ (3.07)	3.79 ↓ (4.67)	9.1% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Kunming City?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
Guangzhou Dandelion is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kunming City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Guangzhou Dandelion is seen as the favorite.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha won against Kunming City?

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kunming City won against Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?

Kunming City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Kunming City were as follows:

Latest results of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha

02.05.2025 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 2:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Wenzhou Professional 0:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Nanjing City 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Wuhan Three Towns B 1:0 ✺

08.04.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Kunming City

02.05.2025 Kunming City - Shenzhen 0:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Chengdu Rongcheng B - Kunming City 2:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Guangxi Lanhang - Kunming City 0:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Kunming City - Quanzhou Yassin 1:0 ✺

04.04.2025 Kunming City - Ganzhou Ruishi 1:1 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

2025

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wuxi Wugou	10	6	3	1	14:4	10	21
2	Changchun Xidu	10	6	2	2	11:4	7	20
3	Nantong Haimen	10	5	3	2	15:12	3	18
4	Shanghai Port B	10	5	2	3	14:8	6	17
5	Shandong Taishan B	10	4	4	2	10:8	2	16
6	Jiangxi Lushan	10	4	3	3	12:12	0	15
7	Hubei Istar	10	3	3	4	11:11	0	12
8	Taian Tiankuang	10	3	2	5	10:11	-1	11
9	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	10	2	5	3	6:11	-5	11
10	Hangzhou Linping	10	2	4	4	9:14	-5	10
11	Lanzhou Longyuan	10	1	4	5	4:12	-8	7
12	Beijing Technology	10	1	1	8	7:16	-9	4

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen	10	7	2	1	16:5	11	23
2	Chengdu Rongcheng B	10	6	2	2	20:7	13	20
3	Shenzhen	10	6	2	2	10:6	4	20
4	Guizhou Zhucheng	10	6	1	3	12:10	2	19
5	Guangzhou Dandelion	10	5	1	4	14:10	4	16
6	Wenzhou Professional	10	4	4	2	10:10	0	16
7	Wuhan Three Towns B	10	3	4	3	10:6	4	13
8	Kunming City Star	10	3	4	3	9:9	0	13
9	Ganzhou Ruishi	10	2	4	4	7:11	-4	10
10	Guangdong Mingtu	10	1	4	5	5:12	-7	7
11	Quanzhou Yassin	10	1	3	6	4:12	-8	6
12	Guangxi Lanhang	10	0	1	9	2:21	-19	1

Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
Yi League (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Kunming City?

It is being streamed on channel


China	QQ Sports