Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha vs Guangxi Hengchen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/05/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zengcheng Stadium (Guangzhou).

: Yi League - Round 10

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	2.10
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
3	18
Shots on target
2	8
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
72% (227/315)	83% (442/531)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	2.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.35	2.38
Total shots
3	18
Shots on target
2	8
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked Shots
0	5
Shots inside the Box
2	11
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
9	24
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
5	4
Free Kicks
17	18
Passes
72% (227/315)	83% (442/531)
Long passes
29% (19/65)	48% (30/63)
Passes in final third
53% (47/88)	60% (71/118)
Crosses
0% (0/9)	29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.26	1.52
Throw-ins
21	26
Fouls
18	17
Tackles
75% (9/12)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
47	53
Clearances
25	21
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
2.38	0.35
Goals prevented
-0.62	-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Huang Yiwen 🟨,
37', Luo Kai ↓, Chen Yuhao ↑,
37', Li Haoyu ↓, Liang Yibin ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Liang Yibin ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Gao Yixuan ↓, Ren K. ↑,
52', Wei Chaolun 🟨,
54', Li Bin 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Yuan X. ⚽, Ji Tianle (A),
59', Wang H. ↓, Chen D. ↑,
59', Zhang Huajun ↓, Ning W. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Ning W. ⚽,
67', Huang Yiwen ↓, Ling Zheng ↑,
67', Li Zhuoxuan ↓, Chen Xing ↑,
72', Li S. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Ning W. (A),
76', Ling Chuanbin ↓, Fan Ruiwei ↑,
82', Wei Chaolun ↓, Feng Yifan ↑,
85', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Huang Y. ↑,
87', Liang Yibin 🟨,

Chances of winning

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
21.5%

Draw
30.8%

Guangxi Hengchen
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

33%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

33%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha's form might have worsened.

Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangxi Hengchen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.39)	2.98 ↑ (2.76)	1.93 ↓ (2.27)	8.9% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).
Recent performances by Guangzhou Dandelion have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Guangxi Hengchen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha won against Guangxi Hengchen?

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Hengchen won against Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?

Guangxi Hengchen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen were as follows:

Latest results of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha

10.05.2025 Quanzhou Yassin - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 0:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Kunming City 1:2 ✺

02.05.2025 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 2:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Wenzhou Professional 0:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Nanjing City 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Guangxi Hengchen

11.05.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Wenzhou Professional 3:0 ✺

07.05.2025 Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangxi Hengchen 0:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Hengchen 0:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Guangxi Lanhang 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Shanghai Jiading Huilong 2:1 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

2025

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wuxi Wugou	13	9	3	1	19:6	13	30
2	Nantong Haimen	13	6	5	2	27:17	10	23
3	Changchun Xidu	12	7	2	3	12:5	7	23
4	Shandong Taishan B	13	6	5	2	18:13	5	23
5	Shanghai Port B	13	5	4	4	16:11	5	19
6	Jiangxi Lushan	13	5	3	5	16:16	0	18
7	Hangzhou Linping	13	4	4	5	13:18	-5	16
8	Taian Tiankuang	12	3	3	6	12:14	-2	12
9	Hubei Istar	11	3	3	5	12:13	-1	12
10	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	13	2	6	5	6:21	-15	12
11	Lanzhou Longyuan	13	2	5	6	8:16	-8	11
12	Beijing Technology	13	2	1	10	9:18	-9	7

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen	13	10	2	1	27:6	21	32
2	Shenzhen	13	7	4	2	14:8	6	25
3	Chengdu Rongcheng B	13	7	2	4	23:11	12	23
4	Guizhou Zhucheng	12	7	1	4	15:13	2	22
5	Guangzhou Dandelion	13	6	3	4	17:12	5	21
6	Wenzhou Professional	12	4	5	3	12:13	-1	17
7	Wuhan Three Towns B	12	4	4	4	11:8	3	16
8	Kunming City Star	13	4	4	5	11:18	-7	16
9	Ganzhou Ruishi	12	2	6	4	9:13	-4	12
10	Guangdong Mingtu	13	1	6	6	7:16	-9	9
11	Quanzhou Yassin	11	1	3	7	4:13	-9	6
12	Guangxi Lanhang	13	0	4	9	7:26	-19	4

Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
Yi League (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen?

It is being streamed on channel


China	QQ Sports