Guangxi Hengchen vs Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chinese Yi League Guangxi Hengchen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Yi League - Round 21
Guangxi Hengchen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.30
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
84% (359/426)75% (185/246)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.760.01
Total shots
188
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
265
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1020
Passes
84% (359/426)75% (185/246)
Long passes
58% (39/67)27% (16/59)
Passes in final third
75% (113/151)46% (36/78)
Crosses
33% (10/30)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.07
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
2010
Tackles
75% (15/20)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4342
Clearances
1634
Interceptions
24
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.010.76
Goals prevented
0.01-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ji Tianle , Ji X. ,
  • 46', Yang Youxian , Liang Z. ,
  • 55', Zhang Huajun , Ning W. ,
  • 60', 1 - 0, Luan H. , Wang Haozhi (A),
  • 63', Wang Haozhi , Chen G. ,
  • 64', Cai M. , Li Zhuoxuan ,
  • 64', Liang Yibin , Huang Yiwen ,
  • 74', Fan Ruiwei 🟨,
  • 74', Chen Yuhao , Luo Kai ,
  • 74', Ren K. , Chen D. ,
  • 74', Fei Ernanduo , Huang Y. ,
  • 83', Li Jiaheng , Dilyar A. ,
  • 83', Liu Jiqiang , Ling Chuanbin ,
  • 89', Wei Chaolun , Wang H. ,
  • 90', Li S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Chen D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Diao Jiahao 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guangxi Hengchen
63.9%
Draw
23.2%
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 25% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 23.6% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangxi Hengchen's performance.
  • Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangxi Hengchen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guangxi Hengchen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.72)
    3.96
    (3.64)
    7.1
    (4.12)
    9%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    • Guangxi Hengchen has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Guangzhou Dandelion is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Guangzhou Dandelion may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Guangxi Hengchen will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangxi Hengchen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guangxi Hengchen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen 1:3
    Latest results of Guangxi Hengchen
    Chinese Yi League Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen24203152:124063
    2Wuxi Wugou24156335:142151
    3Shenzhen24147330:151549
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B24135642:222044
    5Guizhou Zhucheng24133835:28742
    6Shandong Taishan B241010437:241340
    7Changchun Xidu24109520:13739
    8Nantong Haimen24108642:301238

          Promotion ~ Jia League

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