Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha vs Guangxi Hengchen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/05/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zengcheng Stadium (Guangzhou).

: Yi League - Round 10

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	2.10
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
3	18
Shots on target
2	8
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
72% (227/315)	83% (442/531)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	2.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.35	2.38
Total shots
3	18
Shots on target
2	8
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked Shots
0	5
Shots inside the Box
2	11
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
9	24
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
5	4
Free Kicks
17	18
Passes
72% (227/315)	83% (442/531)
Long passes
29% (19/65)	48% (30/63)
Passes in final third
53% (47/88)	60% (71/118)
Crosses
0% (0/9)	29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.26	1.52
Throw-ins
21	26
Fouls
18	17
Tackles
75% (9/12)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
47	53
Clearances
25	21
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
2.38	0.35
Goals prevented
-0.62	-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Huang Yiwen 🟨,
37', Luo Kai ↓, Chen Yuhao ↑,
37', Li Haoyu ↓, Liang Yibin ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Liang Yibin ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Gao Yixuan ↓, Ren K. ↑,
52', Wei Chaolun 🟨,
54', Li Bin 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Yuan X. ⚽, Ji Tianle (A),
59', Wang H. ↓, Chen D. ↑,
59', Zhang Huajun ↓, Ning W. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Ning W. ⚽,
67', Huang Yiwen ↓, Ling Zheng ↑,
67', Li Zhuoxuan ↓, Chen Xing ↑,
72', Li S. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Ning W. (A),
76', Ling Chuanbin ↓, Fan Ruiwei ↑,
82', Wei Chaolun ↓, Feng Yifan ↑,
85', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Huang Y. ↑,
87', Liang Yibin 🟨,

Chances of winning

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
21.5%

Draw
30.8%

Guangxi Hengchen
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

33%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

33%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha's form might have worsened.

Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangxi Hengchen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.39)	2.98 ↑ (2.76)	1.93 ↓ (2.27)	8.9% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).
Recent performances by Guangzhou Dandelion have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Guangxi Hengchen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha won against Guangxi Hengchen?

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Hengchen won against Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?

Guangxi Hengchen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen were as follows:

Latest results of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha

10.05.2025 Quanzhou Yassin - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 0:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Kunming City 1:2 ✺

02.05.2025 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 2:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Wenzhou Professional 0:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Nanjing City 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Guangxi Hengchen

11.05.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Wenzhou Professional 3:0 ✺

07.05.2025 Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangxi Hengchen 0:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Hengchen 0:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Guangxi Lanhang 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Shanghai Jiading Huilong 2:1 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

2025

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wuxi Wugou	14	9	3	2	19:8	11	30
2	Nantong Haimen	14	7	5	2	29:17	12	26
3	Changchun Xidu	13	8	2	3	13:5	8	26
4	Shandong Taishan B	14	6	6	2	20:15	5	24
5	Jiangxi Lushan	14	6	3	5	17:16	1	21
6	Hangzhou Linping	14	5	4	5	16:20	-4	19
7	Shanghai Port B	14	5	4	5	16:12	4	19
8	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	14	3	6	5	11:22	-11	15
9	Taian Tiankuang	13	3	3	7	12:15	-3	12
10	Lanzhou Longyuan	14	2	6	6	10:18	-8	12
11	Hubei Istar	12	3	3	6	13:18	-5	12
12	Beijing Technology	14	2	1	11	11:21	-10	7

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen	14	11	2	1	29:6	23	35
2	Shenzhen	14	8	4	2	16:9	7	28
3	Chengdu Rongcheng B	14	8	2	4	24:11	13	26
4	Guizhou Zhucheng	13	7	1	5	17:16	1	22
5	Guangzhou Dandelion	14	6	4	4	18:13	5	22
6	Wenzhou Professional	13	4	5	4	13:15	-2	17
7	Wuhan Three Towns B	13	4	4	5	11:9	2	16
8	Kunming City Star	14	4	4	6	12:20	-8	16
9	Ganzhou Ruishi	13	3	6	4	11:14	-3	15
10	Guangdong Mingtu	14	2	6	6	10:18	-8	12
11	Quanzhou Yassin	12	1	3	8	4:15	-11	6
12	Guangxi Lanhang	14	0	5	9	8:27	-19	5

Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
Yi League (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen?

It is being streamed on channel


China	QQ Sports