Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha vs Guangxi Hengchen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Chinese Yi League Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen
Result
1:3
16/05/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Yi League - Round 10
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.412.10
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
318
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
72% (227/315)83% (442/531)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.412.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.352.38
Total shots
318
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
211
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
924
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
1718
Passes
72% (227/315)83% (442/531)
Long passes
29% (19/65)48% (30/63)
Passes in final third
53% (47/88)60% (71/118)
Crosses
0% (0/9)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.52
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
1817
Tackles
75% (9/12)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4753
Clearances
2521
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.380.35
Goals prevented
-0.62-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', Huang Yiwen 🟨,
  • 37', Luo Kai , Chen Yuhao ,
  • 37', Li Haoyu , Liang Yibin ,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Liang Yibin ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Gao Yixuan , Ren K. ,
  • 52', Wei Chaolun 🟨,
  • 54', Li Bin 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Yuan X. , Ji Tianle (A),
  • 59', Wang H. , Chen D. ,
  • 59', Zhang Huajun , Ning W. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Ning W. ,
  • 67', Huang Yiwen , Ling Zheng ,
  • 67', Li Zhuoxuan , Chen Xing ,
  • 72', Li S. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 3, Fei Ernanduo , Ning W. (A),
  • 76', Ling Chuanbin , Fan Ruiwei ,
  • 82', Wei Chaolun , Feng Yifan ,
  • 85', Fei Ernanduo , Huang Y. ,
  • 87', Liang Yibin 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
21.5%
Draw
30.8%
Guangxi Hengchen
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 33% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 33% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha's form might have worsened.
  • Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangxi Hengchen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.28
    (3.39)
    2.98
    (2.76)
    1.93
    (2.27)
    8.9%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).
    • Recent performances by Guangzhou Dandelion have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Guangxi Hengchen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2025

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wuxi Wugou1393119:61330
    2Nantong Haimen1365227:171023
    3Changchun Xidu1272312:5723
    4Shandong Taishan B1365218:13523
    5Shanghai Port B1354416:11519
    6Jiangxi Lushan1353516:16018
    7Hangzhou Linping1344513:18-516
    8Taian Tiankuang1233612:14-212
    9Hubei Istar1133512:13-112
    10Shanxi Chongde Ronghai132656:21-1512
    11Lanzhou Longyuan132568:16-811
    12Beijing Technology1321109:18-97


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen13102127:62132
    2Shenzhen1374214:8625
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B1372423:111223
    4Guizhou Zhucheng1271415:13222
    5Guangzhou Dandelion1363417:12521
    6Wenzhou Professional1245312:13-117
    7Wuhan Three Towns B1244411:8316
    8Kunming City Star1344511:18-716
    9Ganzhou Ruishi122649:13-412
    10Guangdong Mingtu131667:16-99
    11Quanzhou Yassin111374:13-96
    12Guangxi Lanhang130497:26-194

          Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
          Yi League (Relegation Group: )

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