Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Pingguo Stadium (Pingguo).

: Jia League - Round 25

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.30	0.57
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
2	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
68% (164/241)	61% (124/204)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30	0.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.79	0.80
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
19	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
22	10
Passes
68% (164/241)	61% (124/204)
Long passes
45% (32/71)	31% (20/64)
Passes in final third
44% (38/86)	50% (40/80)
Crosses
25% (6/24)	8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	0.44
Throw-ins
26	20
Fouls
10	22
Tackles
40% (2/5)	50% (2/4)
Duels won
38	26
Clearances
36	29
Interceptions
5	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.80	0.79
Goals prevented
-0.20	-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Huang Wei (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zhang Zili ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
50', Zhang Zhixiong 🟨,
54', Asamoah S. ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
67', Huang Wei ↓, Yao Diran ↑,
67', Chen Quanjiang ↓, You Wenjie ↑,
71', Sadauskas R. 🟨,
77', 0 - 2, Xiang Yuwang ⚽, Li Zhenquan (A),
77', Hu Jiajin ↓, Liu Hao ↑,
78', Leonardo ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
86', Huang Xiyang ↓, Huang X. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Cheukoua M. (Pen),
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', Yang Minjie ↓, Wei Guoren ↑,
90+8', He Xiaoqiang 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
23.4%

Draw
25.7%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

24.1%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

17.4%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangxi Pingguo Haliao's performance.

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chongqing Tongliang Long might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chongqing Tongliang Long, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (5.16)	3.59 ↓ (3.77)	1.81 ↑ (1.56)	8.5% (10.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
Guangxi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Chongqing is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Guangxi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Chongqing is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guangxi won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Guangxi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won against Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chongqing Tongliang Long won against Guangxi Pingguo Haliao?

Chongqing Tongliang Long has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long were as follows:

25.05.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 0:0

03.11.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 1:1

29.06.2024 Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long 1:1

Latest results of Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

26.09.2025 Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dalian Kun City 1:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dingnan United 3:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Guangdong GZ-Power - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Chongqing Tongliang Long

27.09.2025 Yanbian Longding - Chongqing Tongliang Long 3:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangdong GZ-Power 0:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Dingnan United - Chongqing Tongliang Long 3:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nanjing City 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nantong Zhiyun 0:2 ✺

Chinese Jia League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liaoning Tieren	27	18	7	2	57:26	31	61
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	27	17	4	6	50:32	18	55
3	Guangdong GZ-Power	27	16	5	6	46:30	16	53
4	Yanbian Longding	27	13	7	7	34:24	10	46
5	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	27	12	8	7	37:29	8	44
6	Nantong Zhiyun	26	11	7	8	40:26	14	40
7	Dingnan Ganlian	26	10	10	6	37:30	7	40
8	Dalian K'un City	27	10	8	9	36:34	2	38
9	Shaanxi Union	26	8	8	10	39:41	-2	32
10	Suzhou Dongwu	27	7	10	10	22:28	-6	31
11	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	27	8	6	13	24:38	-14	30
12	Nanjing City	26	7	8	11	33:39	-6	29
13	Foshan Nanshi	27	6	7	14	25:43	-18	25
14	Shenzhen Juniors	27	7	3	17	35:56	-21	24
15	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	26	5	7	14	21:36	-15	22
16	Qingdao Red Lions	26	2	7	17	15:39	-24	13

Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League

Which TV channels are streaming of Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8