Guangdong Mingtu vs Guangxi Hengchen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chinese Yi League Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Hengchen
Result
0:2
03/05/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Yi League - Round 7
Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Hengchen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.362.00
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
618
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
73% (241/329)86% (392/455)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.362.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.032.62
Total shots
618
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
723
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
105
Free Kicks
2015
Passes
73% (241/329)86% (392/455)
Long passes
34% (22/64)59% (35/59)
Passes in final third
48% (32/66)75% (108/144)
Crosses
13% (1/8)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.561.35
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
1520
Tackles
80% (12/15)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4656
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
2.620.03
Goals prevented
0.570.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Fei Ernanduo , Li S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Yin B. , Wen Y. ,
  • 46', He J. , Zhao C. ,
  • 56', Zhang Zijian 🟨,
  • 59', Fei Ernanduo , Huang Y. ,
  • 59', Zhang Huajun , Yao Zixuan ,
  • 60', Zheng Zhiming 🟨,
  • 61', 0 - 2, Wang Haozhi (Pen),
  • 72', Abdusemet E. , Liu Xin ,
  • 72', Zhang Junzhe , Peng Jiahao ,
  • 72', Ji Tianle , Chen D. ,
  • 73', Huang Y. 🟨,
  • 76', Wen Y. 🟨,
  • 79', Gao Yixuan , Ren K. ,
  • 79', Wei Chaolun , Feng Yifan ,
  • 87', Huang Guangliang , Chen L. ,
  • 87', Wu Z. , Fang K. ,
  • 90+4', Wang Haozhi , Wang H. ,

Chances of winning


Guangdong Mingtu
23.7%
Draw
26.4%
Guangxi Hengchen
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.1% 25.2% 54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8% 24.8% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Hengchen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Hengchen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.91
    (4.53)
    3.5
    (3.61)
    1.85
    (1.67)
    8.1%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Guangdong Mingtu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Guangxi Hengchen is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Guangdong Mingtu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Guangxi Hengchen
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2025

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wuxi Wugou17104321:101134
    2Changchun Xidu17103417:9833
    3Nantong Haimen1787233:201331
    4Shandong Taishan B1787228:171131
    5Jiangxi Lushan1784519:16328
    6Hangzhou Linping1775520:21-126
    7Shanghai Port B1755717:17020
    8Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1746713:27-1418
    9Taian Tiankuang1643915:21-615
    10Lanzhou Longyuan1736815:24-915
    11Hubei Istar1635818:25-714
    12Beijing Technology ✔ 17311315:24-910


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen17133139:93042
    2Guizhou Zhucheng17111526:17934
    3Shenzhen1796219:11833
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B1793527:151230
    5Guangzhou Dandelion1784522:14828
    6Wuhan Three Towns B1765617:14323
    7Wenzhou Professional1747614:18-419
    8Ganzhou Ruishi1638512:20-817
    9Kunming City Star1745813:23-1017
    10Guangdong Mingtu1736814:25-1115
    11Quanzhou Yassin ✔ 1624107:19-1210
    12Guangxi Lanhang ✔ 1706118:33-256

          Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
          Yi League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
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    Guangxi Lanhang is Yi League (Relegation Group )
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