Guangdong Mingtu vs Guangxi Hengchen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chinese Yi League Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Hengchen
Result
0:2
03/05/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Yi League - Round 7
Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Hengchen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.362.00
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
618
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
73% (241/329)86% (392/455)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.362.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.032.62
Total shots
618
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
723
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
105
Free Kicks
2015
Passes
73% (241/329)86% (392/455)
Long passes
34% (22/64)59% (35/59)
Passes in final third
48% (32/66)75% (108/144)
Crosses
13% (1/8)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.561.35
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
1520
Tackles
80% (12/15)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4656
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
2.620.03
Goals prevented
0.570.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Fei Ernanduo , Li S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Yin B. , Wen Y. ,
  • 46', He J. , Zhao C. ,
  • 56', Zhang Zijian 🟨,
  • 59', Fei Ernanduo , Huang Y. ,
  • 59', Zhang Huajun , Yao Zixuan ,
  • 60', Zheng Zhiming 🟨,
  • 61', 0 - 2, Wang Haozhi (Pen),
  • 72', Abdusemet E. , Liu Xin ,
  • 72', Zhang Junzhe , Peng Jiahao ,
  • 72', Ji Tianle , Chen D. ,
  • 73', Huang Y. 🟨,
  • 76', Wen Y. 🟨,
  • 79', Gao Yixuan , Ren K. ,
  • 79', Wei Chaolun , Feng Yifan ,
  • 87', Huang Guangliang , Chen L. ,
  • 87', Wu Z. , Fang K. ,
  • 90+4', Wang Haozhi , Wang H. ,

Chances of winning


Guangdong Mingtu
23.7%
Draw
26.4%
Guangxi Hengchen
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.1% 25.2% 54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8% 24.8% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Hengchen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Hengchen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.91
    (4.53)
    3.5
    (3.61)
    1.85
    (1.67)
    8.1%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Guangdong Mingtu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Guangxi Hengchen is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Guangdong Mingtu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Guangxi Hengchen
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2025

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wuxi Wugou1393119:61330
    2Nantong Haimen1365227:171023
    3Changchun Xidu1272312:5723
    4Shandong Taishan B1365218:13523
    5Shanghai Port B1354416:11519
    6Jiangxi Lushan1353516:16018
    7Hangzhou Linping1344513:18-516
    8Taian Tiankuang1233612:14-212
    9Hubei Istar1133512:13-112
    10Shanxi Chongde Ronghai132656:21-1512
    11Lanzhou Longyuan132568:16-811
    12Beijing Technology1321109:18-97


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen13102127:62132
    2Shenzhen1374214:8625
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B1372423:111223
    4Guizhou Zhucheng1271415:13222
    5Guangzhou Dandelion1363417:12521
    6Wenzhou Professional1245312:13-117
    7Wuhan Three Towns B1244411:8316
    8Kunming City Star1344511:18-716
    9Ganzhou Ruishi122649:13-412
    10Guangdong Mingtu131667:16-99
    11Quanzhou Yassin111374:13-96
    12Guangxi Lanhang130497:26-194

          Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
          Yi League (Relegation Group: )

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