Guanacasteca vs Alajuelense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Costa Rican Primera Division Guanacasteca - Alajuelense
Result
1:1
13/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Division - Clausura - Round 17
  • Referee: Camacho P. (Cos)
Guanacasteca - Alajuelense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Total shots
812
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
611
Corner Kicks
27
Offsides
03
Fouls
1212
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Mora J. ,
  • 21', Martinez C. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Moya J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Matarrita S. 🟨,
  • 58', Matarrita S. , Venegas J. ,
  • 58', Borges C. 🟨,
  • 62', Anderson Canhoto , Perez C. ,
  • 62', Martinez C. , Pinar F. ,
  • 70', Lucumi J. , Suarez A. ,
  • 74', Porras J. A. , Matarrita J. ,
  • 74', Ugalde J. , Munoz G. ,
  • 85', Matarrita R. , Oviedo B. ,
  • 85', Angulo L. , Villalobos Alfaro G. ,
  • 86', Gamboa A. 🟥,
  • 90', Ortega Olivera W. J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hernandez J. , Venegas F. ,
  • 90+2', Mora J. , Mauricio G. ,

Chances of winning


Guanacasteca
13.7%
Draw
24%
Alajuelense
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.8% 25.7% 56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2% 24.8% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guanacasteca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alajuelense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guanacasteca than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Guanacasteca - Alajuelense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.63
    (5.21)
    3.88
    (3.6)
    1.5
    (1.64)
    7.5%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Guanacasteca - Alajuelense?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alajuelense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Alajuelense will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 2.
    • Guanacasteca is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Alajuelense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Guanacasteca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Alajuelense is a favorite.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 17:41 (average 0.9:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guanacasteca won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guanacasteca - Alajuelense were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Alajuelense - Guanacasteca 1:0
    30.11.2024 Guanacasteca - Alajuelense 1:0
    07.09.2024 Alajuelense - Guanacasteca 4:0
    12.05.2024 Alajuelense - Guanacasteca 5:0
    10.03.2024 Guanacasteca - Alajuelense 3:0
    Latest results of Guanacasteca
    Latest results of Alajuelense
    Draw
    Grand Final

    Final
    1AlajuelenseHerediano0 : 1, 0 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Guanacasteca - Alajuelense?
    It is being streamed on channel
    costa-ricaCosta-ricaFUTV
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