Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Bolivian League Cup Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero
Result
3:3
25/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Pacena - Round 3
Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.131.58
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
72% (227/315)79% (345/437)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
3.131.58
xG on target (xGOT)
2.731.94
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
2225
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
159
Passes
72% (227/315)79% (345/437)
Long passes
41% (24/59)59% (39/66)
Passes in final third
66% (80/121)66% (98/148)
Crosses
19% (3/16)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.981.12
Throw-ins
2425
Fouls
915
Tackles
79% (11/14)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4441
Clearances
3919
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.942.73
Goals prevented
-1.06-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Anez C. , Portillo M. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Sanchez H. , Peredo G. (A),
  • 45+2', Cuellar V. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Peredo G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Abastoflor C. , Centurion R. ,
  • 46', Cuellar V. , Berdecio J. ,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Nava F. , Bejarano Di. (A),
  • 58', Acuna R. , Cristaldo J. E. ,
  • 62', Peredo G. , Barco C. ,
  • 62', Villarroel M. , Masskooni N. ,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Cristaldo J. E. , Rodriguez D. (A),
  • 69', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 3, Cabrera D. , Cristaldo J. E. (A),
  • 73', Saucedo O. , Baigorria Y. ,
  • 73', Thiago Ribeiro , Paiva S. ,
  • 73', Centurion R. 🟨,
  • 77', Nava F. , Salvatierra Flores K. F. ,
  • 77', Rodriguez D. , Galvez V. ,
  • 85', Bejarano Di. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Gil S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Rafinha , Casavieja L. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Barco C. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Vaca P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guabirá
36.6%
Draw
26.6%
Oriente Petrolero
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 25.7% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 26.2% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guabirá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.22)
    3.45
    (3.6)
    2.49
    (2.83)
    9.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 2.
    • Guabirá has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Oriente Petrolero is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Guabirá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Guabirá has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero 1:3
    23.02.2025 Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero 3:2
    16.02.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá 1:0
    31.10.2024 Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero 2:0
    21.07.2024 Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá 2:1
    Latest results of Guabirá
    Latest results of Oriente Petrolero
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