Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Gilberto Parada (Montero).

: Division Profesional - Round 9

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	1.85
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
11	17
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
67% (245/367)	64% (158/247)
Yellow Cards
6	1
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	1.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	2.62
Total shots
11	17
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
6	10
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
14	27
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
18	8
Passes
67% (245/367)	64% (158/247)
Long passes
41% (35/86)	30% (18/61)
Passes in final third
51% (66/130)	51% (43/85)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	0.70
Throw-ins
31	24
Fouls
8	18
Tackles
71% (5/7)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
31	33
Clearances
12	26
Interceptions
2	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
2.62	0.40
Goals prevented
-0.38	-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Centurion R. ⚽, Gonzales Mejia F. (A),
13', Melean A. 🟨,
15', 1 - 1, Peredo G. ⚽,
22', Masskooni N. 🟨,
36', Parada J. 🟨,
45+5', Rafinha 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Paiva S. ↓, Arano C. P. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Cristaldo J. E. ⚽, Rojas D. (A),
61', Barco C. ↓, Casavieja L. ↑,
61', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
65', Chala W. ↓, Nava F. ↑,
65', Cristaldo J. E. ↓, Acuna R. ↑,
74', Ferrel M. 🟨,
77', Centurion R. ↓, Berdecio J. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Nava F. ⚽,
84', Parada J. ↓, Melgar S. ↑,
84', Rojas D. ↓, Abastoflor C. ↑,
84', Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↓, Cuellar V. ↑,
87', Masskooni N. 🟨,
90+3', Rafinha 🟨,

Chances of winning

Guabirá
44.4%

Draw
26%

Oriente Petrolero
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

26.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

26.1%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.32)	3.59 ↑ (3.45)	3.13 ↑ (2.78)	8.3% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guabirá (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Oriente Petrolero (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Guabirá will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 2.
Guabirá is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Oriente Petrolero has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Guabirá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Guabirá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Oriente Petrolero?

Guabirá has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Oriente Petrolero won against Guabirá?

Oriente Petrolero has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero were as follows:

23.02.2025 Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero 3:2

16.02.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá 1:0

31.10.2024 Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero 2:0

21.07.2024 Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá 2:1

25.08.2023 Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá 1:0

Latest results of Guabirá

20.05.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá 0:1 ✺

16.05.2025 ABB - Guabirá 1:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Guabirá - Real Oruro 3:1 ✺

03.05.2025 The Strongest - Guabirá 5:1 ✺

30.04.2025 Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Oriente Petrolero

21.05.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Oriente Petrolero 1:1 ✺

18.05.2025 Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest 3:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero 5:2 ✺

29.04.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Oriente Petrolero - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1:1 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	9	7	2	0	29:9	20	23
2	Bolivar	9	6	1	2	25:11	14	19
3	The Strongest	9	6	1	2	27:15	12	19
4	Blooming	9	5	2	2	20:14	6	17
5	GV San Jose	9	4	2	3	11:14	-3	14
6	Academia del Balompie	9	3	3	3	8:10	-2	12
7	Universitario de Vinto	9	3	3	3	11:15	-4	12
8	Guabira	9	3	1	5	16:23	-7	10
9	Tomayapo	9	1	6	2	8:10	-2	9
10	Independiente	9	2	3	4	15:19	-4	9
11	Oriente Petrolero	8	2	3	3	12:17	-5	9
12	SA Bulo Bulo	9	2	3	4	16:22	-6	9
13	Nacional Potosi	8	2	2	4	9:9	0	8
14	Real Oruro	9	1	5	3	9:12	-3	8
15	Wilstermann	9	1	1	7	6:22	-16	4
16	Aurora	9	3	2	4	18:18	0	-22

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero?

It is being streamed on channel


Bolivia	Futbol Canal