Groningen vs Waalwijk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Groningen - Waalwijk
Result
6:1
03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 31
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
Groningen - Waalwijk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.14
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
124
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
81% (285/353)85% (384/450)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.14
xG on target (xGOT)
4.631.34
Total shots
229
Shots on target
124
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3712
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
810
Passes
81% (285/353)85% (384/450)
Long passes
45% (13/29)49% (22/45)
Passes in final third
65% (69/106)70% (47/67)
Crosses
33% (5/15)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.82
Throw-ins
2918
Fouls
108
Tackles
65% (15/23)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4944
Clearances
1834
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.344.63
Goals prevented
0.34-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Bacuna L. (Pen),
  • 18', Lelieveld J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Resink S. , Bacuna L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Rente M. , Emeran N. ,
  • 46', 3 - 0, Emeran N. , Valente L. (A),
  • 50', 4 - 0, Resink S. ,
  • 57', Kramer M. , Roemeratoe G. ,
  • 57', Lokesa C. , Cleonise D. ,
  • 60', 5 - 0, van Bergen T. ,
  • 67', 5 - 1, Roemeratoe G. ,
  • 68', Peersman M. , Prins W. ,
  • 68', Kwakman D. , Postema R. ,
  • 74', Lelieveld J. , Felida K. ,
  • 74', Margaret R. , van der Water S. ,
  • 75', Valente L. , Willumsson B. ,
  • 82', van de Loo T. , Jakobsen A. ,
  • 82', van Bergen T. , Seuntjens M. ,
  • 89', 6 - 1, Seuntjens M. , Willumsson B. (A),

Chances of winning


Groningen
65.3%
Draw
21.4%
Waalwijk
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 25.6% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 22.3% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Groningen's performance.
  • Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waalwijk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-21.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Groningen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waalwijk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Groningen - Waalwijk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.87)
    4.51
    (3.69)
    7.08
    (3.91)
    3.5%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Groningen - Waalwijk?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Groningen will win! (17 of 19 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, Groningen is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Groningen: Mariani M. (Knock) Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: van Osch Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Waalwijk: Van den Buijs D. (Injury) Weidmann D. (Injury) Wouters L. (Inactive) Zawada O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Waalwijk were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Waalwijk - Groningen 1:2
    15.04.2023 Waalwijk - Groningen 2:1
    07.10.2022 Groningen - Waalwijk 2:3
    Latest results of Groningen
    13.04.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 3:1
    05.04.2025 Groningen - PSV Eindhoven 1:3
    02.04.2025 Feyenoord - Groningen 4:1
    29.03.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:1
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    25.04.2025 Waalwijk - Utrecht 0:4
    11.04.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 2:1
    06.04.2025 Waalwijk - Heracles Almelo 0:0
    01.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk 2:2
    29.03.2025 Zwolle - Waalwijk 2:0
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1De GraafschapDordrecht0 : 2, 0 : 0
    3TelstarDen Haag1 : 0, 2 : 0
    4Den BoschCambuur1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Bye
    2TelstarDen Bosch
    Which TV channels are streaming of Groningen - Waalwijk?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
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