Groningen vs Heracles Almelo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Groningen - Heracles Almelo
Result
4:1
23/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 30
  • Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
Groningen - Heracles Almelo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.38
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
78% (248/316)81% (352/432)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.981.07
Total shots
128
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2014
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
179
Passes
78% (248/316)81% (352/432)
Long passes
52% (26/50)47% (34/73)
Passes in final third
59% (58/99)66% (57/86)
Crosses
15% (2/13)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.55
Fouls
917
Tackles
61% (11/18)60% (12/20)
Duels won
5647
Clearances Total
1436
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.071.98
Goals prevented
0.06-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Rente M. , Valente L. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Schreuders J. , de Jonge T. (A),
  • 20', 2 - 1, Bruns T. , Hornkamp J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 3 - 1, Bacuna L. (Pen),
  • 58', Rots M. , Benita M. ,
  • 58', Engels M. , Talvitie J. ,
  • 59', 4 - 1, Scheperman S. (Own goal),
  • 64', Hornkamp J. 🟨,
  • 66', Bruns T. 🟨,
  • 68', Bruns T. , Zamburek J. ,
  • 68', Hornkamp J. , Kulenovic L. ,
  • 77', Mesik I. 🟨,
  • 79', Kwakman D. , Willumsson B. ,
  • 81', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,
  • 84', Podgoreanu S. 🟨,
  • 90', Valente L. , Oosting T. ,
  • 90', Schreuders J. , Postema R. ,

Chances of winning


Groningen
45.1%
Draw
30.1%
Heracles Almelo
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 24.5% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 25.3% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Groningen's form might have worsened.
  • Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Groningen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Groningen - Heracles Almelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.81)
    3.14
    (3.86)
    3.79
    (4.06)
    6.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Groningen - Heracles Almelo?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Groningen won 1.
    • Groningen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Heracles is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Groningen have a series of guest games.
    • Groningen will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Groningen: Mariani M. (Injury) Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Laursen N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Groningen: Prins W. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heracles: Bruns T. (Personal Reasons) De Keersmaecker B. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Groningen won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27:31 (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Groningen won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    28.01.2025 Heracles Almelo - Groningen 1:1
    02.08.2024 Groningen - Heracles Almelo 2:0
    Latest results of Groningen
    13.04.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 3:1
    05.04.2025 Groningen - PSV Eindhoven 1:3
    02.04.2025 Feyenoord - Groningen 4:1
    29.03.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:1
    19.03.2025 Schalke 04 - Groningen 1:0
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV ✔ 332445100:386276
    2Ajax ✔ 33236465:323375
    3Feyenoord ✔ 33208576:364068
    4Utrecht ✔ 33189662:451763
    5AZ Alkmaar ✔ 33168957:362156
    6Twente ✔ 33159962:471554
    7G.A. Eagles ✔ 331491054:50451
    8Nijmegen331171549:45440
    9Heerenveen331171540:57-1740
    10Sittard331171537:54-1740
    11Sparta Rotterdam339121238:40-239
    12Groningen331091440:51-1139
    13Zwolle339111341:51-1038
    14Heracles339111341:61-2038
    15NAC Breda33881733:57-2432
    16Willem II33672033:55-2225
    17Waalwijk33572139:71-3222
    18Almere City ✔ 33492022:63-4121

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSV is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Feyenoord is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Utrecht is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
    AZ Alkmaar is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    G.A. Eagles is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )
    Almere City is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
    Which TV channels are streaming of Groningen - Heracles Almelo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
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