Result
4:1
23/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Eredivisie - Round 30
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (248/316) | 81% (352/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (248/316) | 81% (352/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 47% (34/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (58/99) | 66% (57/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.55 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Rente M. ⚽, Valente L. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Schreuders J. ⚽, de Jonge T. (A),
- 20', 2 - 1, Bruns T. ⚽, Hornkamp J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 3 - 1, Bacuna L. (Pen),
- 58', Rots M. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
- 58', Engels M. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
- 59', 4 - 1, Scheperman S. (Own goal),
- 64', Hornkamp J. 🟨,
- 66', Bruns T. 🟨,
- 68', Bruns T. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,
- 68', Hornkamp J. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 77', Mesik I. 🟨,
- 79', Kwakman D. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 81', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,
- 84', Podgoreanu S. 🟨,
- 90', Valente L. ↓, Oosting T. ↑,
- 90', Schreuders J. ↓, Postema R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Groningen
45.1% | Draw
30.1% | Heracles Almelo
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Groningen's form might have worsened.Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Groningen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Groningen - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.81) |
3.14 ↓
(3.86) |
3.79 ↓
(4.06) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Groningen - Heracles Almelo?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Heracles will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.2% – 69%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Groningen (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Heracles (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Groningen won 1.
- Groningen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Heracles is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Groningen have a series of guest games.
- Groningen will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Groningen: Mariani M.
(Injury)
Turay F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Laursen N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Groningen: Prins W.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Bruns T.
(Personal Reasons)
De Keersmaecker B.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Groningen won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27:31 (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Groningen won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Heracles Almelo?
Groningen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Groningen?
Heracles Almelo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
28.01.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Groningen
1:1
02.08.2024
Groningen
-
Heracles Almelo
2:0
Latest results of Groningen
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Which TV channels are streaming of Groningen - Heracles Almelo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
