Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Groningen - Fortuna Sittard
16/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 26
  • Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
Groningen - Fortuna Sittard - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.36
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
84
Shots on Goal
41
Shots off Goal
22
Blocked Shots
21
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
91
Shots inside the Box
61
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
02
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
04
Throw-ins
3318
Touches in the Opposition Box
1912
Passes
81% (383/474)71% (256/360)
Passes in the final third
65% (93/142)46% (36/78)
Crosses
8% (2/26)10% (1/10)
Tackles
69% (18/26)45% (10/22)
Clearances Total
1744
Interceptions
910

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Rosier L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Da Cruz A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Dahlhaus J. 🟨,
  • 58', Da Cruz A. , Peterson K. ,
  • 58', Radulovic B. , Sierhuis K. ,
  • 64', Prins W. , Peersman M. ,
  • 64', Schreuders J. , Willumsson B. ,
  • 68', Michut E. 🟨,
  • 85', Bullaude E. , Halilovic A. ,
  • 85', Michut E. , Aiko M. ,
  • 87', 1 - 0, Willumsson B. ,
  • 88', Rosier L. , Bastien S. ,

Chances of winning


Groningen
48.8%
Draw
28.3%
Fortuna Sittard
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 26% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 25.9% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Groningen - Fortuna Sittard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.06)
    3.37
    (3.63)
    4.16
    (3.34)
    4.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Groningen - Fortuna Sittard?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 46.1%91.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Groningen won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Fortuna Sittard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Groningen is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Groningen: Peersman M. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Groningen: Bouland S. (Injury) Rente M. (Injury) Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Demir O. (Injury) Halilovic A. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Groningen won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.4:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Groningen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Fortuna Sittard - Groningen 1:0
    08.02.2024 Groningen - Fortuna Sittard 1:0
    02.04.2023 Fortuna Sittard - Groningen 3:1
    13.11.2022 Groningen - Fortuna Sittard 2:3
    Latest results of Groningen
    01.03.2025 Groningen - Twente 1:1
    15.02.2025 Willem II - Groningen 1:3
    08.02.2025 Groningen - NEC Nijmegen 2:1
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Which TV channels are streaming of Groningen - Fortuna Sittard?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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