Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Two Grimsby Town - Swindon Town
Result
0:4
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 43
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Grimsby Town - Swindon Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.553.57
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
03
Passes
64% (225/350)71% (296/416)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.553.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.273.06
Total shots
813
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
03
Touches in opposition box
1319
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
158
Passes
64% (225/350)71% (296/416)
Long passes
29% (20/69)45% (41/91)
Passes in final third
38% (36/95)53% (65/122)
Crosses
20% (1/5)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.53
Fouls
815
Tackles
59% (13/22)74% (14/19)
Duels won
7059
Clearances Total
2522
Interceptions
1510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
3.060.27
Goals prevented
-0.940.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Nichols T. , Smith H. (A),
  • 32', 0 - 2, Clarke O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 55', McEachran G. , Turi G. D. ,
  • 55', Hume D. , Vernam C. ,
  • 59', Turi G. D. 🟨,
  • 63', Khouri E. , Ainley C. ,
  • 65', 0 - 3, Tshimanga K. , Glatzel P. (A),
  • 76', Clarke O. 🟨,
  • 76', Rose D. , Burns D. ,
  • 78', Cotterill J. , Sobowale T. ,
  • 78', Clarke O. , Westley J. ,
  • 81', Freckleton M. 🟨,
  • 87', Tshimanga K. , Ameen B. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 4, Ameen B. ,

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
48.7%
Draw
26.1%
Swindon Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 24.2% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 23.8% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Grimsby Town - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.8)
    3.62
    (3.85)
    3.73
    (3.89)
    6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Delaney R. (Injury) Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Cass L. (Injury) Luker J. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Injury) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:22 (average 1.2:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Swindon Town were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 3:1
    20.04.2024 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 2:0
    30.09.2023 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 2:1
    14.01.2023 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 5:0
    24.09.2022 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 1:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe22005:146
    2Fleetwood22004:136
    3Chesterfield22003:036
    4Tranmere21105:144
    5Grimsby21106:334
    6MK Dons21102:024
    7Bromley21102:024
    8Harrogate21104:314
    9Newport21103:214
    10Gillingham21102:114
    11Swindon21014:403
    12Cambridge Utd21013:303
    13Walsall21012:203
    14Salford21013:4-13
    15Colchester20202:202
    16Oldham20201:102
    17Notts Co20112:3-11
    18Accrington20111:3-21
    19Shrewsbury20110:4-41
    20Bristol Rovers20021:3-20
    21Cheltenham20020:3-30
    22Barrow20020:3-30
    23Crawley20021:5-40
    24Barnet20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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