Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Blundell Park (Cleethorpes).

: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.76	0.50
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
18	6
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
10	3
Passes
79% (310/392)	68% (220/322)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76	0.50
xG on target (xGOT)
3.42	0.73
Total shots
18	6
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
9	1
Shots inside the Box
13	4
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
10	3
Touches in opposition box
35	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	9
Passes
79% (310/392)	68% (220/322)
Long passes
44% (24/54)	41% (30/74)
Passes in final third
66% (75/114)	48% (37/77)
Crosses
19% (6/32)	35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.24	0.76
Throw-ins
21	37
Fouls
9	14
Tackles
75% (12/16)	50% (10/20)
Duels won
59	52
Clearances
23	30
Interceptions
9	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.73	3.42
Goals prevented
-0.27	0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Benning M. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Amaluzor J. ⚽, Turi G. D. (A),
26', Anderson T. 🟨,
27', Walker J. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lavelle S. ↓, Rodgers H. ↑,
47', Clucas S. 🟨,
50', 2 - 0, Gardner C. ⚽, Warren T. (A),
63', 2 - 1, Sang T. ⚽, Benning M. (A),
69', Stewart C. ↓, Marquis J. ↑,
69', Clucas S. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
78', Walker J. ↓, Green K. ↑,
78', Gardner C. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
79', Burns D. ↓, Brown H. ↑,
81', Hoole L. 🟨,
85', Hoole L. ↓, Gilliead A. ↑,
85', Perry T. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Kabia J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Grimsby Town
57.7%

Draw
28.3%

Shrewsbury Town
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

30.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

31.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shrewsbury Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.55)	3.82 ↑ (3.07)	8.21 ↑ (2.9)	-6.9% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town?

Users Predictions: Grimsby Town will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Grimsby is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Shrewsbury has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Shrewsbury has had a series of home games.
Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Grimsby won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Shrewsbury Town?

Grimsby Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Grimsby Town?

Shrewsbury Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:

Latest results of Grimsby Town

09.08.2025 Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town 3:3 ✺

02.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Crawley Town 3:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Grimsby Town - Peterborough United 3:2 ✺

23.07.2025 Boston United - Grimsby Town 1:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Grimsby Town - Lincoln City 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Shrewsbury Town

09.08.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Shrewsbury Town 4:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Bromley 0:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Burnley 2:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers 2:5 ✺

19.07.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Kidderminster Harriers 3:0 ✺

Draw

Main

1/64-finals

1	Birmingham	Sheffield Utd	2 : 1
2	Blackpool	Port Vale	0 : 1
4	Bye	Arsenal
5	Swansea	Crawley	3 : 1
6	Plymouth	QPR	3 : 2
8	Bye	Nottingham
9	Tranmere	Burton	1 : 2
10	Harrogate	Lincoln	1 : 3
12	Bye	Chelsea
13	Tottenham	Bye
15	Accrington	Peterborough	2 : 1
16	Middlesbrough	Doncaster	0 : 4
17	Bournemouth	Bye
18	Bye	Brentford
20	Bye	Aston Villa
21	Sunderland	Bye
22	Huddersfield	Leicester	3 : 2
24	Bye	Manchester City
25	Liverpool	Bye
27	Watford	Norwich	1 : 2
28	Northampton	Southampton	0 : 1
29	Newcastle	Bye
31	Stoke	Walsall	1 : 0
32	Blackburn	Bradford City	1 : 2
33	Bolton	Sheffield Wed	3 : 4
34	Bye	Leeds
35	Grimsby	Shrewsbury	3 : 1
36	Bye	Manchester Utd
37	Wolves	Bye
38	Bye	West Ham
39	Everton	Bye
40	Chesterfield	Mansfield	0 : 2
41	Crystal Palace	Bye
43	Newport	Millwall	0 : 1
44	Coventry	Luton	1 : 0
45	Burnley	Bye
46	West Brom	Derby	1 : 2
47	Cardiff	Swindon	2 : 1
48	Cheltenham	Exeter	2 : 0
49	Barrow	Preston	0 : 1
50	Wrexham	Hull	4 : 3
51	Portsmouth	Reading	1 : 2
52	Gillingham	AFC Wimbledon	1 : 2
53	Wigan	Notts Co	1 : 0
54	Stockport County	Crewe	3 : 1
55	Bromley	Ipswich	2 : 1
56	Leyton Orient	Wycombe	0 : 1
57	Barnsley	Fleetwood	3 : 2
58	Salford	Rotherham	0 : 1
59	Oxford Utd	Colchester	1 : 0
60	Bye	Brighton
61	Fulham	Bye
62	Bristol City	MK Dons	2 : 0
63	Bristol Rovers	Cambridge Utd	0 : 2
64	Charlton	Stevenage	3 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Birmingham	Port Vale	0 : 1
2	Bye	Arsenal
3	Swansea	Plymouth	2 : 1
4	Bye	Nottingham
5	Burton	Lincoln	0 : 1
6	Bye	Chelsea
7	Tottenham	Bye
8	Accrington	Doncaster	0 : 2
9	Bournemouth	Brentford	0 : 2
10	Bye	Aston Villa
11	Sunderland	Huddersfield	1 : 2
12	Bye	Manchester City
13	Liverpool	Bye
14	Norwich	Southampton	0 : 3
15	Newcastle	Bye
16	Stoke	Bradford City	0 : 3
17	Sheffield Wed	Leeds	2 : 1
18	Grimsby	Manchester Utd	3 : 2
19	Wolves	West Ham	3 : 2
20	Everton	Mansfield	2 : 0
21	Crystal Palace	Bye
22	Millwall	Coventry	2 : 1
23	Burnley	Derby	2 : 1
24	Cardiff	Cheltenham	3 : 0
25	Preston	Wrexham	2 : 3
26	Reading	AFC Wimbledon	2 : 1
27	Wigan	Stockport County	1 : 0
28	Bromley	Wycombe	1 : 2
29	Barnsley	Rotherham	2 : 1
30	Oxford Utd	Brighton	0 : 6
31	Fulham	Bristol City	2 : 0
32	Cambridge Utd	Charlton	3 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Port Vale	Arsenal
2	Swansea	Nottingham
3	Lincoln	Chelsea
4	Tottenham	Doncaster
5	Brentford	Aston Villa
6	Huddersfield	Manchester City
7	Liverpool	Southampton
8	Newcastle	Bradford City
9	Sheffield Wed	Grimsby
10	Wolves	Everton
11	Crystal Palace	Millwall
12	Burnley	Cardiff
13	Wrexham	Reading
14	Wigan	Wycombe
15	Barnsley	Brighton
16	Fulham	Cambridge Utd

Which TV channels are streaming of Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+