Grimsby Town vs Morecambe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Grimsby Town - Morecambe
Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Grimsby Town - Morecambe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.25
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
174
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
67% (242/359)56% (166/298)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.320.13
Total shots
174
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2511
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
67% (242/359)56% (166/298)
Long passes
37% (29/79)25% (23/92)
Passes in final third
54% (82/152)42% (49/117)
Crosses
43% (9/21)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.43
Fouls
1118
Tackles
72% (13/18)60% (9/15)
Duels won
7862
Clearances Total
2536
Interceptions
120
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.132.32
Goals prevented
-0.87-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', Lewis P. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Green K. , Hume D. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Dallas A. , Jones C. (A),
  • 39', Turi G. D. 🟨,
  • 40', Dallas A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Hume D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Turi G. D. , McEachran G. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Barrington L. , Hume D. (A),
  • 63', Hope H. , Dackers M. ,
  • 63', White T. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 67', Tutonda D. 🟨,
  • 72', Tutonda D. , Taylor M. ,
  • 75', Burns D. , Svanthorsson J. ,
  • 77', Tharme D. 🟨,
  • 79', Stott J. , Songo'o Y. ,
  • 79', Dallas A. , Cooke C. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Green K. , Barrington L. (A),
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 85', Green K. , Davies J. ,
  • 86', Jones C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Barrington L. , Warren T. ,

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
54.9%
Draw
25.8%
Morecambe
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 23.1% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 22.8% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.
  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Grimsby Town - Morecambe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.56)
    3.66
    (4.05)
    4.88
    (5.52)
    6.4%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Morecambe?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L. (Injury) Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive) Vernam C. (Thigh Injury) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Morecambe were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Morecambe - Grimsby Town 0:3
    24.02.2024 Morecambe - Grimsby Town 1:1
    11.11.2023 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Morecambe
    29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0
    22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Swindon860217:10718
    2Gillingham853012:5718
    3Salford851213:9416
    4Walsall85128:5316
    5Grimsby843114:9515
    6Chesterfield842212:10214
    7Bromley834112:8413
    8Crewe841312:9313
    9Bristol Rovers84139:9013
    10MK Dons833213:7612
    11Fleetwood833210:10012
    12Notts Co832312:10211
    13Cambridge Utd83239:8111
    14Oldham82425:5010
    15Barnet83148:11-310
    16Tranmere723211:839
    17Harrogate82248:12-48
    18Crawley82247:11-48
    19Colchester81437:9-27
    20Accrington71334:7-36
    21Barrow82066:11-56
    22Newport81258:13-55
    23Shrewsbury81256:16-105
    24Cheltenham81163:14-114

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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