Grimsby Town vs Gillingham: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Grimsby Town - Gillingham
Result
1:1
28/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 29
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Grimsby Town - Gillingham - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.58
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
147
Shots on Goal
41
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
25
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Free Kicks
115
Offsides
10
Fouls
511
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
3839
Touches in the Opposition Box
2213
Passes
68% (273/401)62% (176/285)
Passes in the final third
49% (52/107)54% (59/109)
Crosses
40% (6/15)22% (4/18)
Tackles
71% (15/21)67% (10/15)
Clearances Total
4323
Interceptions
2217

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Tharme D. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Khumbeni N. 🟨,
  • 58', Khumbeni N. , Dieng T. ,
  • 65', Vernam C. , Luker J. ,
  • 69', Little A. 🟨,
  • 79', Thompson C. , Obikwu J. ,
  • 80', Nolan J. , Hawkins O. ,
  • 81', Agbinone A. , Dack B. ,
  • 90+4', Gale S. , Williams J. ,
  • 90+5', McEachran G. , Carson M. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, Rose D. , Green K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
40.9%
Draw
28.8%
Gillingham
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 28.2% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 27.6% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gillingham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Grimsby Town - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.51)
    3.27
    (3.31)
    3.11
    (2.7)
    5.9%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 17).
    • Grimsby is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gillingham has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Gillingham were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 0:1
    16.03.2024 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 1:1
    02.09.2023 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 2:0
    14.02.2023 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 2:1
    13.09.2022 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 1:1
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Gillingham
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Crewe1161416:12419
    6Salford1161417:15219
    7MK Dons1153319:12718
    8Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    9Chesterfield1153320:19118
    10Notts Co1152420:13717
    11Barnet1152414:12217
    12Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1142512:14-214
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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