Grimsby Town vs Cheltenham Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town
Result
7:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 10
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.690.37
Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
273
Shots on target
131
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
87% (535/612)57% (105/184)
Yellow Cards
05
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.690.37
xG on target (xGOT)
4.100.74
Total shots
273
Shots on target
131
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
162
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
476
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
87% (535/612)57% (105/184)
Long passes
54% (26/48)23% (15/66)
Passes in final third
84% (236/281)42% (30/71)
Crosses
26% (6/23)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.47
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
1113
Tackles
55% (11/20)67% (8/12)
Duels won
6537
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.744.10
Goals prevented
-0.26-2.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', Kinsella L. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. , Archer E. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Walker J. ,
  • 41', Pell H. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 1, Walker J. , Vernam C. (A),
  • 45', Pell H. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Angol L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 0)
  • 46', Jude-Boyd A. , Young L. ,
  • 51', Angol L. 🟨,
  • 54', 3 - 1, Kabia J. , McJannett C. (A),
  • 54', Kinsella L. , Bickerstaff J. ,
  • 59', 4 - 1, Sweeney J. ,
  • 62', 5 - 1, Vernam C. ,
  • 63', Vernam C. , Soonsup-Bell J. ,
  • 63', Oduor C. , Rose D. ,
  • 67', Kabia J. , Svanthorsson J. ,
  • 67', Walker J. , Khouri E. ,
  • 68', Green K. , Staunton R. ,
  • 73', Hutchinson I. , Broom R. ,
  • 74', Willcox F. , Harmon G. ,
  • 80', 6 - 1, Sweeney J. ,
  • 81', Power D. , Taylor T. ,
  • 83', 7 - 1, Khouri E. , Soonsup-Bell J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
64.5%
Draw
21.3%
Cheltenham Town
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 22.3% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 21.9% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.52)
    4.43
    (4.19)
    6.71
    (5.74)
    6%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 76.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
    • In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cheltenham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Grimsby has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Grimsby is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Injury) Thomas J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Rose D. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Mazionis J. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town 1:1
    17.08.2024 Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town 3:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1282218:10826
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Gillingham1264218:11722
    4MK Dons1263323:121121
    5Grimsby1263324:15921
    6Chesterfield1263322:19321
    7Barnet1262416:12420
    8Crewe1261516:13319
    9Salford1261517:17019
    10Bromley1246218:15318
    11Cambridge Utd1253414:12218
    12Fleetwood1253418:18018
    13Notts Co1152420:13717
    14Bristol Rovers1252513:17-417
    15Oldham1236310:9115
    16Colchester1235418:17114
    17Harrogate1242614:17-314
    18Barrow124269:12-314
    19Tranmere1125416:17-111
    20Accrington112367:14-79
    21Crawley1223710:21-119
    22Shrewsbury122379:20-119
    23Newport1222811:21-108
    24Cheltenham122287:25-188

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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