Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League Two - Round 6
- Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (353/448) | 51% (111/219) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (353/448) | 51% (111/219) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/67) | 25% (20/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (89/133) | 36% (34/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 0% (0/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 39 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Amaluzor J. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Southam-Hales M. ⚽,
- 39', Lopata K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Amaluzor J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
- 46', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
- 52', Sotiriou R. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
- 58', Kilgour A. 🟨,
- 63', Thomas L. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
- 63', Harrison E. ↓, Howley R. ↑,
- 74', McEachran J. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
- 80', Kabia J. ↓, Gardner C. ↑,
- 80', Staunton R. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
- 81', 🟨,
- 90+1', Vernam C. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
45.7% | Draw
25.6% | Bristol Rovers
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.9) |
3.62 ↑
(3.61) |
3.27 ↓
(3.84) |
6.7%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Grimsby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bristol Rovers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bristol Rovers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Bristol Rovers has had a series of home games.
- Grimsby could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Svanthorsson J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z.
(Inactive)
Lavelle S.
(Calf Injury)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
Walker J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Grimsby won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Bristol Rovers?
Grimsby Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Grimsby Town?
Bristol Rovers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Bromley | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Crewe | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Swindon | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Walsall | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Fleetwood | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Salford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
| 13 | Notts Co | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 14 | Harrogate | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Barnet | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Colchester | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 18 | Barrow | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Oldham | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Newport | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 21 | Accrington | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Crawley | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 2 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 2 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
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