Grimsby Town vs Bristol Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Two Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers
Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 6
  • Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.58
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
98
Passes
79% (353/448)51% (111/219)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.140.87
Total shots
128
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
98
Touches in opposition box
3316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
159
Passes
79% (353/448)51% (111/219)
Long passes
45% (30/67)25% (20/80)
Passes in final third
67% (89/133)36% (34/94)
Crosses
25% (7/28)0% (0/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.27
Throw-ins
3921
Fouls
915
Tackles
64% (7/11)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5646
Clearances
3326
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.870.14
Goals prevented
-0.130.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Amaluzor J. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Southam-Hales M. ,
  • 39', Lopata K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Amaluzor J. , Burns D. ,
  • 46', Turi G. D. , McEachran G. ,
  • 52', Sotiriou R. , Cavegn F. ,
  • 58', Kilgour A. 🟨,
  • 63', Thomas L. , Moore T. ,
  • 63', Harrison E. , Howley R. ,
  • 74', McEachran J. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 80', Kabia J. , Gardner C. ,
  • 80', Staunton R. , Rose D. ,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Vernam C. , Oduor C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
45.7%
Draw
25.6%
Bristol Rovers
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 26.1% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 25.7% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.9)
    3.62
    (3.61)
    3.27
    (3.84)
    6.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Grimsby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bristol Rovers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bristol Rovers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Bristol Rovers has had a series of home games.
    • Grimsby could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive) Walker J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Grimsby won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham963015:6921
    2Salford961216:11519
    3Walsall961212:7519
    4Swindon960319:13618
    5Chesterfield943214:12215
    6Grimsby943214:12215
    7Notts Co942316:10614
    8Bromley935114:10414
    9Cambridge Utd942311:9214
    10Bristol Rovers942310:10014
    11Oldham93428:5313
    12Crewe941412:10213
    13Barnet941411:11013
    14MK Dons933314:9512
    15Fleetwood933311:12-112
    16Harrogate932410:12-211
    17Tranmere823313:1219
    18Accrington82336:8-29
    19Barrow93067:11-49
    20Colchester91538:10-28
    21Crawley92257:15-88
    22Newport91269:16-75
    23Shrewsbury91266:18-125
    24Cheltenham91173:17-144

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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