Vitória Salvador vs Grêmio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Vitória Salvador - Grêmio
Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 6
  • Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
Vitória Salvador - Grêmio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.56
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
88% (387/441)84% (323/385)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.85
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1120
Passes
88% (387/441)84% (323/385)
Long passes
53% (26/49)36% (16/44)
Passes in final third
79% (94/119)70% (71/101)
Crosses
29% (10/35)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.84
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
2011
Tackles
76% (13/17)41% (7/17)
Duels won
4460
Clearances
1833
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.851.02
Goals prevented
0.540.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Pepe 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Jemerson , Wagner Leonardo (A),
  • 22', Villasanti M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Erick , Carlinhos ,
  • 46', Gustavo Silva , Fabricio ,
  • 55', Carlinhos 🟨,
  • 56', Pepe , Baralhas ,
  • 58', Edenilson , Nathan ,
  • 58', Cristaldo F. , Monsalve M. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Carlinhos , Jamerson (A),
  • 69', Claudinho 🟨,
  • 73', Janderson , Lucas Braga ,
  • 75', Villasanti M. , Cuellar G. ,
  • 75', Braithwaite M. , Andre Henrique ,
  • 76', Matheuzinho 🟨,
  • 84', Olivera C. , Aravena A. ,
  • 88', Matheuzinho , Ricardo Ryller ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
40.5%
Draw
30.9%
Grêmio
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 28.8% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 29.1% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Vitória Salvador - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.47)
    3.05
    (3.27)
    3.3
    (2.86)
    5.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Grêmio?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Vitória will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Vitória: Gabriel (Muscle Injury) Renato Kayzer (Thigh Injury) Wellington Rato (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Gabriel Grando (Red Card) Rodrigo Ely (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grêmio: Mayk (Hamstring Injury) Wagner Leonardo (Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7:20 (average 0.5:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Grêmio were as follows:
    04.12.2024 Vitória Salvador - Grêmio 1:1
    21.07.2024 Grêmio - Vitória Salvador 2:0
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Latest results of Grêmio
    24.04.2025 Godoy Cruz - Grêmio 2:2
    19.04.2025 Grêmio - Internacional RS 1:1
    16.04.2025 Mirassol - Grêmio 4:1
    13.04.2025 Grêmio - Flamengo 0:2
    08.04.2025 Grêmio - Atlético Grau 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ21145245:103547
    2Cruzeiro22135435:152044
    3Palmeiras20134328:161243
    4Bahia20106428:22636
    5Botafogo RJ20105530:131735
    6Mirassol2098335:201535
    7Sao Paulo2288626:23332
    8Bragantino22931027:32-530
    9Fluminense2084825:28-328
    10Internacional2176825:29-427
    11Ceara2175919:20-126
    12Corinthians2268823:28-526
    13Gremio2167820:26-625
    14Atletico-MG2066820:24-424
    15Vasco21641130:31-122
    16Santos21641120:31-1122
    17Vitoria22410819:32-1322
    18Juventude21631219:41-2221
    19Fortaleza21361220:34-1415
    20Sport Recife20171214:33-1910

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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