Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 25
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Grêmio - Vitória Salvador live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (359/423) | 86% (351/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (359/423) | 86% (351/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 45% (19/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (65/87) | 72% (79/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 8% (2/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Willian ↓, Alysson ↑,
- 26', Baralhas 🟨,
- 35', Camutanga 🟨,
- 45', Marlon 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Andre Henrique ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 1, Cantalapiedra A. ⚽,
- 59', Erick 🟨,
- 60', Edenilson ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
- 60', Pavon C. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Amuzu F. ⚽, Cristaldo F. (A),
- 70', Marcos Rocha ↓, Dodi ↑,
- 71', Andre Henrique ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 71', Erick ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 71', Camutanga ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 81', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
- 81', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 83', Baralhas ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 87', Lopez R. ↓, Lucas Braga ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Aravena A. ⚽, Amuzu F. (A),
Chances of winning
Grêmio
63.3% | Draw
26.6% | Vitória Salvador
10.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grêmio - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.73) |
4.08 ↑
(3.5) |
11.76 ↑
(5) |
-6.6%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Vitória Salvador?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Grêmio will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 3.
- Grêmio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vitória has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Grêmio is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Carlos Vinicius
(Injury)
Cuellar G.
(Inactive)
Fabian Balbuena
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Dudu
(Red Card)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Pepe
(Yellow Cards)
Ramos R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Freitas dos Santos R.
(Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Fabricio
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Vitória Salvador?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Grêmio?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
27.04.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Grêmio
1:1
04.12.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Grêmio
1:1
21.07.2024
Grêmio
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:13 | 40 | 58 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41:21 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Gremio | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Grêmio - Vitória Salvador?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
